You started the week watching EURUSD open Monday at 1.15552. The pair reached its weekly high of 1.15653 early, then leaked lower into a weekly low of 1.15115 on Thursday. Friday's session settled at 1.15423 on thin holiday-style volume. Net, the euro shed roughly 13 pips against the dollar across the week, a slow grind rather than a sharp break.
The economic calendar was quiet, so geopolitics carried the tape. Late in the week, Latvia issued an air threat alert and Finland restricted traffic in the Gulf of Finland. Baltic security risk tends to weigh on the euro, and that headline lined up with Thursday's push to 1.15115 before price recovered part of the drop into Friday.
The dollar side got support from broader risk positioning. The PBOC set a weaker yuan reference than the market estimate, which can nudge dollar demand across the majors. EURUSD held below its Monday open for the rest of the week.
The bundle carries no scheduled high-impact events for the coming week. With the calendar bare, headline risk stays in the driver's seat. Watch for follow-through on the Baltic security story. Fresh escalation typically pressures the euro, while any sign of de-escalation removes a weight and can let the pair recover toward the top of the week's range. Further PBOC fixings matter too, since a continued weaker yuan reference can keep a bid under the dollar.
Sentiment sits at 52.1 percent long and 47.9 percent short. That is close to balanced, with a slight lean toward the long side even as price closed lower on the week. A modest long skew into a falling market means the crowd is fading the decline rather than chasing it, which can leave stops exposed if the low gives way.
The weekly low at 1.15115 is the first line in the sand. If price closes below it, the round-number zone near 1.15000 comes into focus. On the upside, 1.15653 marked the weekly high. A reclaim above there puts the Monday open at 1.15552 and the higher ground back in play. GBP/USD moves in the same dollar-driven current, and if you want a cross-check on broader dollar direction, the pound is worth watching alongside GBP/USD. You can track EURUSD live pricing and set your own alerts when you open an LHFX account.
Byline: LHFX Research
Risk disclaimer. CFD trading involves substantial risk and is not suitable for every investor. Leverage works both ways and can amplify losses beyond your initial deposit. The analysis above is general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument. LHFX is regulated by the FSC Mauritius and the FSCA in South Africa.