Market Analysis
XRPUSD week ahead: what to watch after choppy 2026-07-20
XRPUSD closed last week near 1.0864 after a mid-week rejection from 1.1272, and a thin macro calendar leaves price action and positioning in charge this week.
3 min readEURUSD opened Monday last week at 1.14039 and closed Friday at 1.14373, a net gain of roughly 33 pips over the five sessions. The pair pushed to a weekly high of 1.14819 on Wednesday before sellers took control into the back half of the week, dragging price back toward the middle of the range. Renewed dollar demand, tied to Gulf escalation headlines late in the week, capped the advance.
The economic calendar in the bundle carries no scheduled high-impact releases for the coming five sessions, so price action this week hinges on the dollar theme running through the headlines. Reports of a fresh missile wave at the Gulf pushed both oil and the dollar higher into the weekend, and that safe-haven bid is the single biggest force acting on EURUSD as the new week opens. Watch how the dollar behaves against that geopolitical backdrop, because it drove the late-week fade from 1.14819.
Secondary threads sit around China and broader risk appetite. The PBOC set its daily USD/CNY reference rate firmer than the market estimate, a signal of continued dollar firmness across the Asia session. Commodity currencies felt it too, with the New Zealand dollar slipping despite a June trade surplus. If the dollar keeps that tone, the euro faces a headwind regardless of any domestic catalyst. Open an LHFX account to trade EURUSD this week.
If the safe-haven dollar bid fades and EURUSD reclaims the 1.14694 Wednesday close area early in the week, the prior weekly high near 1.14819 comes back into focus. A close above there opens room toward the round 1.1500 handle. If the dollar strength persists and price loses the 1.14240 zone, the Monday open at 1.14039 and the weekly low near 1.13770 are the next reference points below. Correlated dollar pairs such as GBP/USD can help confirm whether the move is broad dollar direction or euro-specific.
LHFX client positioning shows 52.1 percent long against 47.9 percent short on EURUSD. That is a slight long lean, close to balanced, which tells you consensus is not strongly committed either way going into the new week. A near-even book leaves room for price to move in either direction without a crowded position unwinding to fuel it.
These are reference levels, not entry signals. The upside marker is last week's high at 1.14819, with the round 1.1500 level beyond it. On the downside, the 1.14240 area held as support on Friday, and below that the weekly low at 1.13770 sits as the deeper reference. The Monday open at 1.14039 is a useful pivot for gauging whether the week starts on a firmer or softer footing.
Byline: LHFX Research
Risk disclaimer. CFD trading involves substantial risk and is not suitable for every investor. Leverage works both ways and can amplify losses beyond your initial deposit. The analysis above is general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument. LHFX is regulated by the FSC Mauritius and the FSCA in South Africa.
