Market Analysis
EURUSD weekly: euro drops 111 pips to 1.14817, 2026-09-14
EURUSD gave up 111 pips over the week of 14 September 2026, with the whole loss landing in a single Wednesday session that broke 1.1500.
4 min readUSDZAR closed Wednesday at 16.7205, a touch above Monday's 16.6988 open for a gain of roughly 220 pips week to date. The range so far has been wide. Price stretched to a high of 16.8147 on Tuesday and dropped to a low of 16.6159 the same session, so most of the volatility landed on day two rather than at the open.
No high-impact data landed on the rand's calendar this week, so the move has run on broad dollar flow. Wire commentary from Tuesday flagged the dollar moving lower as markets flipped and crude oil sold off, which lines up with the 16.8147 rejection and the slide back toward 16.62 on the same session. Wednesday steadied that, closing at 16.7205 on much lighter volume.
The bundle carries no scheduled high-impact events for the back half of this week. That leaves USDZAR exposed to dollar direction and risk appetite rather than a local catalyst. If broad dollar softness resumes the way it did Tuesday, expect the pair to test the lower half of the week's range. If risk sentiment sours and the dollar bids, the 16.81 area from Tuesday's high comes back into focus. Watch a risk proxy like AUD/USD for a read on which way appetite is leaning into Thursday and Friday.
As of Wednesday morning, LHFX client positioning sits 58.6 percent long and 41.4 percent short. That is a moderate long skew, meaning consensus midweek expects more dollar strength against the rand from here. A crowded long side also means any sharp drop back toward the week's low can accelerate as those positions come under pressure.
The pair is working the 16.72 zone right now, caught between Tuesday's 16.8147 high and 16.6159 low. If buyers hold above 16.70 and push through 16.75, the 16.81 high is the next obvious level. If 16.70 gives way, the 16.62 low from Tuesday is back in play. You can track these levels live on your LHFX platform and open an account to follow the rand's next test.
Byline: LHFX Research
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