EURUSD opened Monday at 1.1394 and closed Friday at 1.1507. The pair carved a weekly high of 1.15365 on Thursday and a low of 1.13528 on Tuesday. That is a net gain of about 113 pips, or roughly 0.99 percent, and the close sits near the upper end of the range.
The euro's advance was driven more by dollar weakness than by any single euro catalyst. Broad selling in the greenback showed up across the board. USDCAD traded to a fresh multi-week low, and both NZDUSD and AUDUSD rose over 1 percent on Thursday, the same session that carried EURUSD from 1.14666 up to a 1.15226 close.
The Japanese yen added its own noise. USDJPY moved sharply lower on speculation of intervention on Thursday, then extended a rebound above 160 into Friday after the BOJ decision. The push and pull in yen crosses kept dollar flows volatile, and EURUSD held its gains through Friday's quieter session, where volume dropped to 13,354 against Thursday's 63,691.
The bundle carries no scheduled high-impact events for the coming week. With the calendar thin, price action is more likely to be shaped by follow-through from the dollar move and by any fresh headlines around yen intervention. Watch how EURUSD reacts if the dollar finds a bid. A hotter run of US data would typically pressure the pair lower, while a softer tone would tend to extend the euro's recovery. Treat any yen-driven dollar swings as spillover risk rather than a euro story.
LHFX sentiment shows 52.1 percent of open positions long and 47.9 percent short. That is a modest long skew, close to balanced. After a near 1 percent weekly rally, a crowd that is only slightly net long tells you conviction is not stretched. There is no crowded one-way bet here, which leaves room for the move to continue or reverse without a large positioning unwind.
The weekly high at 1.15365 is the first ceiling. If price closes above it, the round 1.1550 area comes into focus. If it rejects there, attention shifts back toward the 1.15039 Friday low. Below that, the Thursday swing near 1.14338 is the next obvious support, and a break under it would put the mid-range 1.1385 zone back in play. Compare the euro's strength against AUD/USD, which led the anti-dollar move on Thursday. If you want to track these pairs on live pricing, you can open an LHFX account and follow them in real time.
Byline: LHFX Research
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