Market Analysis
EURUSD weekly: euro drops 111 pips to 1.14817, 2026-09-14
EURUSD gave up 111 pips over the week of 14 September 2026, with the whole loss landing in a single Wednesday session that broke 1.1500.
4 min readUSDCHF opened Monday at 0.80937 and closed Friday at 0.80837. That is a net loss of roughly 10 pips on the week, but the path was not flat. Price ran to a weekly high of 0.81486 on Monday, then rolled over. The weekly low came Wednesday at 0.80303 before buyers stepped back in. By Friday the pair had settled into a tight range, trading between 0.80806 and 0.80924.
The economic calendar was thin, so flow drove most of the action. The Monday high near 0.81486 marked the top, and from there the dollar leaked lower against the franc for two straight sessions into the 0.80303 low. Wednesday's session covered an 838 pip intraday range from high to low, the widest of the week, which points to real two-way interest rather than drift.
Thursday and Friday told a different story. Volume collapsed on Friday to a fraction of the earlier sessions, and the range compressed to under 12 pips. That kind of quiet close often reflects positioning ahead of a fresh week rather than conviction in either direction.
The bundle carries no scheduled high-impact events for the coming week. In the absence of a data catalyst, watch central bank signaling and cross-market flow. Friday's PBOC headlines showed the yuan reference rate set stronger for the dollar than the Reuters estimate, a firmer dollar fix than markets looked for. If broad dollar demand carries over, USDCHF tends to firm. If risk appetite improves and the franc's safe-haven bid fades, the pair can grind lower instead. With no domestic Swiss or US prints in the bundle, treat any early-week move on light volume as provisional.
LHFX client positioning sits at 54.1 percent long and 45.9 percent short as of Friday. That is a modest lean toward the long side, not a crowded one. A skew this close to even tells you consensus is unsettled after the week's chop. It also means there is no obvious pile of trapped positions to squeeze in either direction yet.
The weekly high at 0.81486 is the first ceiling. If price closes above it, the round 0.8150 area from Monday's spike comes back into focus. On the downside, the Wednesday low at 0.80303 is the line that matters. If price breaks and holds below it, the 0.8000 round number is the next obvious reference. The Friday coil between 0.80806 and 0.80924 is the near-term pivot, and a clean break out of that band usually sets the early-week tone. For a contrasting dollar read, watch how EUR/USD behaves against the same flow. You can follow both pairs live on your LHFX account dashboard.
Byline: LHFX Research
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