Technical Analysis

USD/JPY Price Analysis – March 13, 2025

By LHFX Technical Analysis
Mar 13, 2025
Usdjpy

Daily Price Outlook

During the European trading session, the USD/JPY currency pair remained under pressure, falling to around 147.58 on Thursday. The Japanese Yen (JPY) strengthened against the US Dollar (USD) as concerns over trade tariffs and growing expectations of further interest rate hikes by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) bolstered demand for the safe-haven currency.

Meanwhile, the USD remained weak amid rising speculation that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates this year, adding further downside pressure on the pair.

USD/JPY Pressured by BoJ Rate Hike Expectations and Trade Concerns

The Japanese Yen found strong support as market participants anticipated that the BoJ would continue raising interest rates to curb inflation. With Japanese firms agreeing to wage hikes for the third consecutive year, consumer spending is expected to rise, further fueling inflation.

This scenario increases the likelihood of additional rate hikes by the BoJ, pushing the yield on Japan’s 10-year government bond near its highest level since the 2008 financial crisis. Additionally, BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda signaled that long-term interest rates would be left to market forces, reinforcing expectations of higher yields.

On the trade front, US President Donald Trump’s decision to impose a 25% tariff on all steel and aluminum imports heightened global trade tensions. His warning of reciprocal tariffs on other countries increased uncertainty, leading investors to seek refuge in the safe-haven Japanese Yen.

Market concerns over potential retaliatory measures from the European Union and Canada further weighed on sentiment, benefiting the JPY.

US Dollar Weakens Amid Fed Rate Cut Speculation

The US Dollar remained subdued near a multi-month low, struggling against the backdrop of growing expectations for Fed rate cuts.

Traders increased their bets on multiple rate cuts this year, especially after weaker-than-expected US inflation data. On the data front, the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) report showed that headline inflation slowed to 2.8% year-over-year in February from 3% in the previous month.

Core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, also eased to 3.1% from 3.3%, missing market expectations of 3.2%.

This softer inflation data reinforced market speculation that the Fed may need to ease monetary policy to prevent an economic slowdown.

The outlook for lower interest rates reduced the USD’s appeal, contributing to the ongoing weakness of the USD/JPY pair. Investors now turn their focus to the upcoming US Producer Price Index (PPI) data for further clues on the Fed’s policy direction.

USD/JPY Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
USD/JPY Price Chart - Source: Tradingview

USD/JPY – Technical Analysis

USD/JPY is holding steady at 147.609, up slightly as the market weighs broader risk sentiment and central bank expectations.

The pair remains under pressure below its pivot point at 148.390, signaling a potential downside move if sellers gain control. The 50-day EMA at 147.667 is acting as a dynamic resistance level, keeping further upside limited for now.

If USD/JPY breaks below immediate support at 147.285, the next downside targets are 146.547 and 145.969, where buyers may attempt to regain control.

However, a move back above 148.390 could shift momentum in favor of the bulls, with resistance at 149.124 and 149.600 standing as key hurdles before the psychologically significant 150.167 level.

For now, USD/JPY remains bearish below 147.925, with traders targeting key support levels. A sustained move below 147.285 could accelerate losses, while a break above 148.390 would indicate a potential shift in sentiment toward further upside.

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Daily Trade Ideas

USD/JPY Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal

By LHFX Technical Analysis
Mar 13, 2025
Usdjpy

Daily Price Outlook

- USD/JPY remains bearish below 147.925, with sellers eyeing 146.985 and 146.547 as key downside targets.

- The 50-day EMA at 147.667 is capping upside moves, reinforcing near-term bearish sentiment.

- A breakout above 148.390 could shift momentum, potentially targeting 149.124 and 149.600.

USD/JPY is holding steady at 147.609, up slightly as the market weighs broader risk sentiment and central bank expectations.

The pair remains under pressure below its pivot point at 148.390, signaling a potential downside move if sellers gain control. The 50-day EMA at 147.667 is acting as a dynamic resistance level, keeping further upside limited for now.

If USD/JPY breaks below immediate support at 147.285, the next downside targets are 146.547 and 145.969, where buyers may attempt to regain control.

However, a move back above 148.390 could shift momentum in favor of the bulls, with resistance at 149.124 and 149.600 standing as key hurdles before the psychologically significant 150.167 level.

For now, USD/JPY remains bearish below 147.925, with traders targeting key support levels. A sustained move below 147.285 could accelerate losses, while a break above 148.390 would indicate a potential shift in sentiment toward further upside.

USD/JPY Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
USD/JPY Price Chart - Source: Tradingview

USD/JPY - Trade Ideas

Entry Price – Sell Below 147.925

Take Profit – 146.985

Stop Loss – 148.663

Risk to Reward – 1: 1.2

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$940/ -$738

Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$94/ -$73

USD/JPY

Technical Analysis

USD/JPY Price Analysis – March 06, 2025

By LHFX Technical Analysis
Mar 6, 2025
Usdjpy

Daily Price Outlook

The USD/JPY currency pair extended its sharp decline and remained under pressure around the 147.70 level during the European trading session.

The pair's bearish trend can be attributed to the strengthening Japanese Yen (JPY), which continues to gain traction against a broadly weaker US Dollar (USD).

The JPY remains near its multi-month high, supported by growing expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will continue hiking interest rates.

Stronger Japanese Yen Driven by BoJ's Hawkish Outlook

The Japanese Yen has been strengthening amid growing speculation that the Bank of Japan will tighten its monetary policy further.

BoJ Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida stated that the central bank is prepared to adjust its policy in response to economic conditions.

This hawkish stance has fueled expectations of additional rate hikes, leading to a surge in Japanese bond yields.

Notably, the yield on the 10-year Japanese government bond has reached its highest level since June 2009. The narrowing yield gap between Japan and other economies has provided further support to the JPY, adding to the downward pressure on the USD/JPY pair.

Weaker US Dollar Amid Rate Cut Expectations and Soft Economic Data

On the US front, the US dollar has been struggling amid growing expectations that the Federal Reserve may begin cutting interest rates as early as June.

On the data front, the latest economic data has reinforced these expectations, with the Automatic Data Processing (ADP) report revealing that private-sector employment increased by just 77K in February, significantly below the 140K forecast.

In the meantime, US consumer confidence deteriorated to a 15-month low, further fueling speculation that the Fed will need to adopt a more accommodative policy stance.

Despite positive data indicating continued expansion in the US services sector, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has extended its weekly downtrend, dropping to its lowest level since November 6.

The prolonged weakness of the USD has contributed to the sharp decline in the USD/JPY pair, with traders remaining cautious ahead of the highly anticipated Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report due on Friday.

Traders will now turn their attention to upcoming US economic data releases, particularly the US Weekly Initial Jobless Claims and the highly anticipated Nonfarm Payrolls report. These reports will provide fresh insights into the US labor market and could influence the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook.

If the data further supports the case for Fed rate cuts, the USD/JPY pair could experience additional downside pressure.

USD/JPY Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
USD/JPY Price Chart - Source: Tradingview

USD/JPY – Technical Analysis

USD/JPY is trading at 148.852, edging lower as sellers gain control below the pivot point at 149.326. The pair remains under pressure as market sentiment tilts toward a risk-off environment, and traders assess the outlook for U.S. interest rates and Bank of Japan policy shifts.

Technically, the 50-day EMA at 149.672 acts as a dynamic resistance level, reinforcing the bearish outlook below 149.30. Immediate resistance is set at 150.174, and a break above this level could lead to a test of 151.208 and potentially extend toward 152.128. However, the downward momentum suggests further downside potential if the pair remains below its pivot level.

On the support side, 148.189 serves as immediate protection against deeper declines. If this level breaks, the next targets lie at 147.435 and 146.690, areas where buyers may attempt to stabilize the pair.

For now, a sustained move below 149.30 confirms bearish control, with further losses expected toward 148.19. A rebound above this level could lead to short-term consolidation, but a stronger push beyond 150.17 is required to shift momentum back in favor of buyers. 

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Daily Trade Ideas

USD/JPY Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal

By LHFX Technical Analysis
Mar 6, 2025
Usdjpy

Daily Price Outlook

- USD/JPY remains bearish below 149.30, with sellers eyeing 148.19 support.

- Break above 150.17 could shift sentiment, targeting 151.20.

- Failure to hold 148.19 may accelerate declines toward 147.43.

USD/JPY is trading at 148.852, edging lower as sellers gain control below the pivot point at 149.326. The pair remains under pressure as market sentiment tilts toward a risk-off environment, and traders assess the outlook for U.S. interest rates and Bank of Japan policy shifts.

Technically, the 50-day EMA at 149.672 acts as a dynamic resistance level, reinforcing the bearish outlook below 149.30. Immediate resistance is set at 150.174, and a break above this level could lead to a test of 151.208 and potentially extend toward 152.128. However, the downward momentum suggests further downside potential if the pair remains below its pivot level.

On the support side, 148.189 serves as immediate protection against deeper declines. If this level breaks, the next targets lie at 147.435 and 146.690, areas where buyers may attempt to stabilize the pair.

For now, a sustained move below 149.30 confirms bearish control, with further losses expected toward 148.19. A rebound above this level could lead to short-term consolidation, but a stronger push beyond 150.17 is required to shift momentum back in favor of buyers. 

USD/JPY Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
USD/JPY Price Chart - Source: Tradingview

USD/JPY - Trade Ideas

Entry Price – Sell Below 149.315

Take Profit – 148.190

Stop Loss – 150.015

Risk to Reward – 1: 1.6

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$1125/ -$700

Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$112/ -$70

USD/JPY

Technical Analysis

USD/JPY Price Analysis – Feb 27, 2025

By LHFX Technical Analysis
Feb 27, 2025
Usdjpy

Daily Price Outlook

During the European trading session, the USD/JPY currency pair extended its upward momentum, remaining well bid around the 149.97 level.

This rise in the pair comes as the Japanese Yen remains under pressure, allowing the USD/JPY pair to maintain its position.

However, the combination of factors, including remarks from Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda, US economic developments, and a risk-on market sentiment, has contributed to the yen's weakening and the USD/JPY's rise.

Bank of Japan’s Position and US Treasury Yields Weigh on the Yen

BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda’s recent comments have added to the bearish outlook for the Japanese yen. He mentioned that the central bank is ready to buy more government bonds if long-term interest rates rise too quickly, indicating that the BoJ wants to keep rates low.

This has put pressure on the yen, especially as the 10-year Japanese government bond yield dropped to its lowest since February 12, which boosted the USD/JPY.

Meanwhile, the US Treasury bond yield ticked up slightly, giving more strength to the US Dollar and leading to more people moving their money away from the low-yielding yen. This combination has supported the rising trend in USD/JPY.

Risk-On Sentiment and US Tariff Concerns

Apart from this, the positive risk sentiment in the market has also played a major role in the upward movement of USD/JPY. Despite ongoing trade tensions, including concerns about US President Donald Trump's potential tariffs on imports from the European Union and other countries, the broader market sentiment remains risk-on, supporting demand for higher-yielding currencies like the USD.

On the US front, Federal Reserve officials, including Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic, have indicated that progress has been made on inflation, though concerns about the cooling economy continue.

Market participants have increased their expectations for rate cuts, despite the Fed's cautious stance, which has kept the USD on the defensive at times. Nonetheless, the USD remains resilient, supported by strong US economic fundamentals and higher yields.

Looking ahead, market participants are awaiting several key economic reports from Japan, including industrial production, retail sales, and Tokyo inflation data, which could provide further insights into the BoJ’s policy direction.

Besides this, the upcoming release of the US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index could provide fresh impetus for USD/JPY and influence market sentiment.

USD/JPY Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
USD/JPY Price Chart - Source: Tradingview

USD/JPY – Technical Analysis

USD/JPY is trading at 149.343, up 0.01%, maintaining a bullish stance just below the Pivot Point at 149.656. The pair is showing resilience above the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 149.489, indicating that buyers are still in control.

Immediate resistance is seen at 150.708, with stronger barriers at 151.483 and 152.318. A break above 149.656 could trigger bullish momentum, targeting these resistance levels.

On the downside, support is located at 149.551, with deeper cushions at 147.700 and 146.865. A dip below 149.551 could invite selling pressure, potentially leading to a retest of the support at 147.700.

If the price continues to decline, the major support at 146.865 could serve as a crucial area for buyers to defend.

The technical setup favors a bullish trend as long as USD/JPY stays above the 50 EMA at 149.489. The 4-hour chart reveals a pattern of higher lows, reflecting upward momentum.

The Pivot Point at 149.656 is a key level to watch; a break above this could solidify the bullish outlook, pushing the pair toward 150.708. Conversely, a decline below 149.551 would challenge the bullish bias, targeting 147.700.

For traders, the strategy is to Buy Above 149.893 with a Take Profit at 150.961 and a Stop Loss at 148.921.

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Daily Trade Ideas

USD/JPY Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal

By LHFX Technical Analysis
Feb 27, 2025
Usdjpy

Daily Price Outlook

- Bullish Bias: USD/JPY remains bullish above the Pivot Point at 149.656 and the 50 EMA at 149.489.

- Support Levels: Immediate support at 149.551, with significant floors at 147.700 and 146.865.

- Resistance Levels: Upside resistance at 150.708, 151.483, and 152.318.

USD/JPY is trading at 149.343, up 0.01%, maintaining a bullish stance just below the Pivot Point at 149.656. The pair is showing resilience above the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 149.489, indicating that buyers are still in control.

Immediate resistance is seen at 150.708, with stronger barriers at 151.483 and 152.318. A break above 149.656 could trigger bullish momentum, targeting these resistance levels.

On the downside, support is located at 149.551, with deeper cushions at 147.700 and 146.865. A dip below 149.551 could invite selling pressure, potentially leading to a retest of the support at 147.700.

If the price continues to decline, the major support at 146.865 could serve as a crucial area for buyers to defend.

The technical setup favors a bullish trend as long as USD/JPY stays above the 50 EMA at 149.489. The 4-hour chart reveals a pattern of higher lows, reflecting upward momentum.

The Pivot Point at 149.656 is a key level to watch; a break above this could solidify the bullish outlook, pushing the pair toward 150.708. Conversely, a decline below 149.551 would challenge the bullish bias, targeting 147.700.

For traders, the strategy is to Buy Above 149.893 with a Take Profit at 150.961 and a Stop Loss at 148.921.

USD/JPY Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
USD/JPY Price Chart - Source: Tradingview

USD/JPY - Trade Ideas

Entry Price – Buy Above 149.893

Take Profit – 150.961

Stop Loss – 148.921

Risk to Reward – 1: 1.1

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$690/ -$972

Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$106/ -$97

USD/JPY

Technical Analysis

USD/JPY Price Analysis – Feb 20, 2025

By LHFX Technical Analysis
Feb 20, 2025
Usdjpy

Daily Price Outlook

During the European session on Thursday, the USD/JPY currency pair extended its downward trend, trading below the 150.20 level. However, the Japanese Yen (JPY) gained strength as expectations for further interest rate hikes by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) continued to rise.

This sentiment was reinforced by the surge in Japanese government bond (JGB) yields, which reached their highest levels in over a decade, narrowing the rate differential with other major economies and boosting demand for the Yen.

Apart from this, a wave of risk aversion swept through global markets following former US President Donald Trump's renewed tariff threats. This further supported the safe-haven JPY, leading to increased selling pressure on the USD/JPY pair.

Meanwhile, the US Dollar (USD) faced some weakness despite the Federal Reserve's (Fed) hawkish stance, which could provide support to the pair in the near term.

BoJ Policy Outlook, Wage Growth, and US Trade Tensions Boost Yen Strength

On the Japanese economic front, BoJ board member Hajime Takata emphasized on Wednesday that Japan's real interest rates remain deeply negative.

He also suggested that the central bank may need to adjust its monetary policy further if economic forecasts hold, strengthening the case for additional rate hikes.

This follows Japan’s robust Q4 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data released earlier in the week, reinforcing expectations of BoJ tightening.

However, the Reuters poll indicated that over 65% of economists anticipate the BoJ raising its key interest rate to 0.75% in the third quarter. Besides, labor negotiations are expected to result in a wage increase of 5.00%, up from the previous forecast of 4.75%.

The yield on Japan’s benchmark 10-year JGB surged to its highest level since November 2009, further bolstering the Yen’s strength.

At the same time, US trade policy developments also played a key role in influencing market sentiment. Trump’s statement on Wednesday about imposing new tariffs next month or sooner raised fears of a global trade war, driving investors toward safe-haven assets such as the JPY.

In response, Japan's Trade Minister Yoji Muto is reportedly planning a visit to the US in March to seek exemptions from potential tariffs on steel and automobiles.

Fed Caution on Rate Cuts Keeps USD Under Pressure

From the US perspective, the Federal Reserve’s January FOMC meeting minutes released on Wednesday showed policymakers expressing caution about future rate cuts.

Fed Vice Chairman Philip Jefferson highlighted the resilience of the US economy, strong labor market conditions, and persistent inflationary pressures.

Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee echoed these sentiments, stating that while inflation has eased, it remains too high for the Fed to consider immediate rate cuts.

Looking ahead, market participants will closely monitor upcoming US economic data, including Weekly Initial Jobless Claims and the Philly Fed Manufacturing Index, as well as speeches from key Fed officials.

These factors will likely influence the USD/JPY pair’s next moves, though for now, the Yen remains in control amid growing expectations of BoJ tightening and global risk-off sentiment.

USD/JPY Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
USD/JPY Price Chart - Source: Tradingview

USD/JPY – Technical Analysis

USD/JPY is trading at 150.382, down by 0.02%, reflecting a cautious bearish sentiment. The pair is currently trading below the pivotal level of 151.024, signaling potential downward pressure. The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 152.34 is acting as dynamic resistance, reinforcing the bearish outlook.

Immediate resistance is located at 152.329, followed by 153.242 and 154.684. A breakout above 152.329 would invalidate the bearish scenario, paving the way for a bullish reversal towards higher resistance levels.

On the downside, initial support lies at 149.621, with further safety nets at 148.650 and 147.760. A break below 149.621 would confirm bearish momentum, potentially accelerating selling pressure towards the lower support zones. The current price action suggests a consolidation phase, with traders awaiting a decisive breakout for directional clarity.

From a technical perspective, the bearish case is supported by the descending trendline and the 50-day EMA acting as a resistance barrier. However, a reversal above 151.024 would shift the momentum to bullish, invalidating the short-term bearish outlook.

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Daily Trade Ideas

USD/JPY Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal

By LHFX Technical Analysis
Feb 20, 2025
Usdjpy

Daily Price Outlook

- Bearish Momentum: USD/JPY remains bearish below 151.024, targeting 149.621 and 148.650.

- Dynamic Resistance: 50-day EMA at 152.34 reinforces selling pressure.

- Breakout Potential: A reversal above 151.024 could trigger bullish momentum.

USD/JPY is trading at 150.382, down by 0.02%, reflecting a cautious bearish sentiment. The pair is currently trading below the pivotal level of 151.024, signaling potential downward pressure. The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 152.34 is acting as dynamic resistance, reinforcing the bearish outlook.

Immediate resistance is located at 152.329, followed by 153.242 and 154.684. A breakout above 152.329 would invalidate the bearish scenario, paving the way for a bullish reversal towards higher resistance levels.

On the downside, initial support lies at 149.621, with further safety nets at 148.650 and 147.760. A break below 149.621 would confirm bearish momentum, potentially accelerating selling pressure towards the lower support zones. The current price action suggests a consolidation phase, with traders awaiting a decisive breakout for directional clarity.

From a technical perspective, the bearish case is supported by the descending trendline and the 50-day EMA acting as a resistance barrier. However, a reversal above 151.024 would shift the momentum to bullish, invalidating the short-term bearish outlook.

USD/JPY Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
USD/JPY Price Chart - Source: Tradingview

USD/JPY - Trade Ideas

Entry Price – Sell Below 151.025

Take Profit – 149.300

Stop Loss – 152.360

Risk to Reward – 1: 1.2

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$1147/ -$887

Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$114/ -$88

USD/JPY

Technical Analysis

USD/JPY Price Analysis – Feb 13, 2025

By LHFX Technical Analysis
Feb 13, 2025
Usdjpy

Daily Price Outlook

During the European trading session, the USD/JPY currency pair failed to stop its bearish rally and remained under pressure around the 153.70 level.

The Japanese Yen (JPY) strengthened after Japan's Producer Price Index (PPI) data came out stronger than expected, increasing the chances that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will raise interest rates again.

This gave the JPY a boost, making it more attractive to investors. Meanwhile, a drop in US Treasury bond yields added more pressure on the US Dollar (USD), further pushing USD/JPY lower.

However, the downside for the pair remains limited due to concerns over new tariffs imposed by US President Donald Trump on steel and aluminum imports, which could impact global trade and weigh on the JPY.

Moreover, the US Federal Reserve (Fed) is expected to maintain its hawkish stance, especially after strong US inflation data released on Wednesday. This could support the USD and prevent the USD/JPY pair from falling further.

As a result, traders should be cautious before expecting a significant drop in the currency pair, especially after it reached a one-week high the previous day.

USD/JPY Struggles as Fed's Hawkish Stance Clashes with BoJ Rate Hike Expectations

On the US front, the broad-based US dollar failed to stop its bearish rally and remained under pressure as the latest inflation data reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will keep interest rates high for longer.

On the data front, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.5% in January, marking the biggest increase since August 2023. On a yearly basis, inflation climbed to 3%, while core CPI (excluding food and energy) reached 3.3%.

This suggests that inflation remains sticky, supporting the Fed’s hawkish stance. Fed Chair Jerome Powell also signaled that monetary policy will stay restrictive as inflation is still above the 2% target. Meanwhile, the yield on the 10-year US Treasury bond saw its biggest jump since December, increasing the interest rate gap between the US and Japan, which could help limit the US dollar’s losses.

Japanese Yen Gains on BoJ Rate Hike Hopes but Faces Trade Uncertainty

Apart from this, the Japanese Yen (JPY) gained strength as inflationary pressures continued to build. Japan’s Producer Price Index (PPI) increased by 0.3% in January and 4.2% year-over-year, reinforcing expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) might raise interest rates again. BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda and Deputy Governor Himino also hinted at a possible rate hike if economic conditions align with projections.

However, JPY bulls showed some caution due to concerns that US President Donald Trump’s tariffs on commodity imports could hurt Japan’s economy.

Looking ahead, traders will focus on the upcoming US Producer Price Index (PPI) and weekly jobless claims data, which could influence the US dollar’s movement and impact the USD/JPY pair.

USD/JPY Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
USD/JPY Price Chart - Source: Tradingview

USD/JPY – Technical Analysis

The USD/JPY pair is trading at 154.05, showing signs of weakness as it struggles to hold above its pivot point at 154.20. A failure to maintain this level suggests bearish momentum could intensify, with immediate support at 153.74.

A break below this threshold could expose the pair to deeper declines toward 153.27 and 152.77, reinforcing the case for a potential downside move.

On the upside, resistance is forming at 154.80, with further hurdles at 155.24 and 155.86. A push above these levels could reignite bullish sentiment, paving the way for renewed buying interest. However, current price action suggests selling pressure is capping gains, limiting any immediate recovery attempts.

The 50-day EMA at 153.35 serves as a key indicator to watch. If USD/JPY drops below this mark, it could confirm further downside potential, triggering additional selling pressure.

Conversely, a sustained move above the pivot at 154.20 may shift momentum in favor of buyers, though a decisive break above 154.80 would be required to confirm an uptrend.

Traders looking to capitalize on this setup may consider selling below 154.18, with a take-profit target at 153.50 and a stop-loss set at 154.78 to manage risk effectively. While short-term volatility remains, overall sentiment leans bearish unless buyers reclaim key resistance levels.

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Daily Trade Ideas

USD/JPY Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal

By LHFX Technical Analysis
Feb 13, 2025
Usdjpy

Daily Price Outlook

- USD/JPY remains bearish below 154.20, with 153.74 as immediate support.

- 50-day EMA at 153.35 is a critical level; a break below could accelerate selling pressure.

- Resistance at 154.80 must be cleared for a bullish reversal, but downside risks remain dominant.

The USD/JPY pair is trading at 154.05, showing signs of weakness as it struggles to hold above its pivot point at 154.20. A failure to maintain this level suggests bearish momentum could intensify, with immediate support at 153.74.

A break below this threshold could expose the pair to deeper declines toward 153.27 and 152.77, reinforcing the case for a potential downside move.

On the upside, resistance is forming at 154.80, with further hurdles at 155.24 and 155.86. A push above these levels could reignite bullish sentiment, paving the way for renewed buying interest. However, current price action suggests selling pressure is capping gains, limiting any immediate recovery attempts.

The 50-day EMA at 153.35 serves as a key indicator to watch. If USD/JPY drops below this mark, it could confirm further downside potential, triggering additional selling pressure.

Conversely, a sustained move above the pivot at 154.20 may shift momentum in favor of buyers, though a decisive break above 154.80 would be required to confirm an uptrend.

Traders looking to capitalize on this setup may consider selling below 154.18, with a take-profit target at 153.50 and a stop-loss set at 154.78 to manage risk effectively. While short-term volatility remains, overall sentiment leans bearish unless buyers reclaim key resistance levels.

USD/JPY Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
USD/JPY Price Chart - Source: Tradingview

USD/JPY - Trade Ideas

Entry Price – Sell Below 154.189

Take Profit – 153.501

Stop Loss – 154.788

Risk to Reward – 1:1.5

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$688/ -$599

Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$68/ -$59

USD/JPY