GBP/USD Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal
Daily Price Outlook
The GBP/USD pair has demonstrated a notable upward trajectory, now challenging the 1.2625 threshold. Its current posture above this level augments the prospects of further appreciation, laying the groundwork for an intraday bullish momentum. We anticipate a potential trajectory towards the 1.2725 region in the near future.
For the forthcoming trading sessions: A successful breach of the 1.2660 level could expedite the bullish momentum.
However, an inability to sustain above the 1.2625 mark might curb the anticipated rise, potentially reversing the trend to a decline.
Today's forecasted trading band is set between a support of 1.2560 and a resistance at 1.2725.
GBP/USD - Trade Idea
Entry Price – Buy Above 1.26088
Take Profit – 1.26741
Stop Loss – 1.25583
Risk to Reward – 1: 1.2
Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$653/ -$505
Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = +$65/ -$50
GOLD Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal
Daily Price Outlook
Gold's valuation demonstrates a pronounced upward momentum, inching closer to our initial projected target of $1,929. Upon closer examination of the trendlines, we observe the formation of a 'double bottom' pattern, which typically serves as a robust bullish signal. This lends significant weight to the likelihood of the price not just reaching, but potentially eclipsing the aforementioned target, setting its sights directly on the subsequent goal of $1,945.20.
Given the current market dynamics and the supportive role of the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA50) - which consistently underpins the price - we maintain an optimistic forecast for gold in the near term. However, it's worth noting that any dip below the $1,913.15 threshold could derail this bullish trajectory, pivoting the market sentiment towards a potential decline. For the day, we anticipate the price to fluctuate between a support level of $1,913 and a resistance cap at $1,945.
GOLD (XAU/USD) - Trade Idea
Entry Price – Buy Above 1920
Take Profit – 1930
Stop Loss – 1912
Risk to Reward – 1: 1.25
Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$1600/ -$800
Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = +$100/ -$80
AUD/USD Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal
Daily Price Outlook
The AUD/USD pair is demonstrating resilience around the 0.6400 juncture, initiating the session with an ascendant bias. It is attempting to distance itself from this benchmark, gearing up for a potential bullish surge with a tentative target in the vicinity of 0.6545.
Our analysis postulates a bullish orientation for today, corroborated by auspicious indications from the stochastic oscillator. Transcending the 0.6450 marker could further facilitate this upward trajectory. Conversely, any decline below the 0.6400 level might disrupt this bullish thesis, potentially reverting the pair to its prevailing bearish trend. For the day, we forecast a trading range delineated by a support level at 0.6380 and a resistance point at 0.6480.
AUD/USD - Trade Idea
Entry Price – Buy Above 0.64058
Take Profit – 0.64876
Stop Loss – 0.63575
Risk to Reward – 1: 1.7
Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$818/ -$483
Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = +$81/ -$48
GOLD Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal
Daily Price Outlook
Gold prices made an effort to surpass the $1913.15 mark, yet concluded last Friday's session above this threshold. This sustains our optimistic forecast, bolstered by the positive trajectory indicated by the stochastic, as well as the upward pressure provided by the EMA50. Our projected price milestones commence at $1929.00, extending up to $1945.20.
Conversely, it's pivotal to highlight that a dip below the $1913.15 mark could disrupt this bullish outlook, steering the price towards a renewed downtrend.
For today, the anticipated price fluctuation is predicted to oscillate between a support of $1900.00 and a resistance of $1935.00.
GOLD (XAU/USD) - Trade Idea
Entry Price – Buy Above 1914
Take Profit – 1930
Stop Loss – 1905
Risk to Reward – 1: 1.7
Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$1600/ -$900
Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = +$160/ -$90
EUR/USD Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal
Daily Price Outlook
The EURUSD currency pair currently hovers around the 1.0785 mark. It's observed that the stochastic exhibits a measured waning of its bullish momentum, concurrently with the EMA50 exerting downward pressure on the pair.
Considering these indicators, there's a heightened propensity for the pair to revert to its overarching bearish trajectory, as delineated within the bearish channel depicted on the chart. A definitive breach below the current level could signal a trajectory towards the 1.0700 benchmark. Conversely, surpassing the 1.0835 threshold might catalyze intraday advancements, with a potential aim to approach the 1.0880 mark before any subsequent retracements.
For today, the anticipated trading range is set between the 1.0720 support and 1.0880 resistance levels.
EUR/USD - Trade Idea
Entry Price – Buy Above 1.08033
Take Profit – 1.08406
Stop Loss – 1.07726
Risk to Reward – 1: 1.2
Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$373/ -$307
Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = +$37/ -$30
S&P500 (SPX) Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal
Daily Price Outlook
Examining the technical aspects of the S&P 500, it's evident that the index has encountered resistance around the 4450 level, leading to a consolidative phase. Looking ahead, the potential scenario for the S&P 500 involves a potential decline towards the next support level at 4339. This level gains significance from its previous role as support on August 18th.
Should the S&P 500 breach the aforementioned support, the subsequent support level is anticipated at 4460, followed by a deeper support around 4170. On the flip side, if the S&P 500 manages to overcome the 4450 level, it would likely encounter immediate resistance around 4525, with further resistance extending beyond that, targeting the 4600 level.
Simultaneously, observing the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicators, both indicators are situated within the sell zone. This, in conjunction with the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) also residing in the sell zone, suggests that the bearish momentum remains robust.
Given this analysis, it's prudent to focus on the 4450 level. A break below this level could trigger selling positions, particularly considering the significant distance from this point. Additionally, keeping an eye on the psychological resistance level of 4400 is recommended, as breaching this level could potentially push the S&P 500 further downwards, targeting the 4339 level. Further developments should be closely monitored, especially if a break below 4339 occurs, as this could lead to a subsequent target of 4265.
S&P500 (SPX) - Trade Idea
Entry Price – Sell Below 4403
Take Profit – 4336
Stop Loss – 4468
Risk to Reward – 1: 1
Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$670/ -$650
Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = +$67/ -$65
S&P500 (SPX) Price Analysis – Aug 25, 2023
Daily Price Outlook
The global market sentiment is cautious due to upcoming speeches by leading central bankers at the Jackson Hole Symposium. Meanwhile, the lack of key data in Asia and mixed feelings about major economies also contribute to the sluggish mood. As in result, the S&P500 Futures showed a slight drop around 4,385, while US 10-year Treasury bond yields bounce back from the weekly low, up by 2 basis points to 4.25% from the previous day's fall.
Global Market Sentiment Affected by Strong US Dollar and Concerns Over China
Furthermore, the broad-based US dollar hit an 11-week high, while Gold Price saw mild losses but is heading for its first weekly gain in five weeks. In the Asia-Pacific region, stocks followed Wall Street's downward trend, reflecting concerns about China. This was fueled by upbeat US Durable Goods Orders for July and robust mid-tier economic data, which kept the Federal Reserve in a hawkish stance, dampening market sentiment.
Moroever, the fading optimism about US-China relations added to worries as China's Commerce Ministry expressed concerns about trade matters and called for increased credit to businesses. Meanwhile, the prospect of US arms sales to Taiwan raised geopolitical tension ahead of the US Commerce Secretary's visit to Beijing.
Thus, this news has contributed to a cautious global market sentiment, with a stronger US dollar, concerns about China, and hawkish signals from the Federal Reserve all weighing on investor confidence, leading to a generally negative mood in financial markets.
Global Economic Factors and Central Bank Leaders in Focus
Apart from this, Japan has reported lower inflation figures, which are significantly below the Bank of Japan's target, challenging positive expectations. Despite positive PMI data, optimism wanes due to strong US data and central banks favoring prolonged higher interest rates.
Looking ahead, market focus turns to central bank leaders, particularly European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde and Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, whose remarks are likely to have a significant impact on financial markets. Their statements will be closely watched for insights into future monetary policies and their effects on global economies.
S&P500 (SPX) - Technical analysis
Examining the technical aspects of the S&P 500, it's evident that the index has encountered resistance around the 4450 level, leading to a consolidative phase. Looking ahead, the potential scenario for the S&P 500 involves a potential decline towards the next support level at 4339. This level gains significance from its previous role as support on August 18th.
Should the S&P 500 breach the aforementioned support, the subsequent support level is anticipated at 4460, followed by a deeper support around 4170. On the flip side, if the S&P 500 manages to overcome the 4450 level, it would likely encounter immediate resistance around 4525, with further resistance extending beyond that, targeting the 4600 level.
Simultaneously, observing the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicators, both indicators are situated within the sell zone. This, in conjunction with the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) also residing in the sell zone, suggests that the bearish momentum remains robust.
Given this analysis, it's prudent to focus on the 4450 level. A break below this level could trigger selling positions, particularly considering the significant distance from this point. Additionally, keeping an eye on the psychological resistance level of 4400 is recommended, as breaching this level could potentially push the S&P 500 further downwards, targeting the 4339 level. Further developments should be closely monitored, especially if a break below 4339 occurs, as this could lead to a subsequent target of 4265.
USD/JPY Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal
Daily Price Outlook
The USD/JPY pair experienced a notable upward surge in the previous session, surpassing the 145.00 mark and currently reaching the 146.00 barrier. This movement has effectively halted the corrective bearish scenario, revitalizing the prospect of the primary bullish trend. The focus now shifts towards testing the recently established peak at 146.55, marking a forthcoming target. It is worth highlighting that a successful breach of this level would propel the price further, aiming for extended gains at 147.00 followed by 147.90.
Hence, the prevailing sentiment remains inclined towards a bullish bias today. However, it's crucial to acknowledge that a failure to surpass the 146.25 threshold could prompt a decline. This scenario could materialize after the formation of a third lower high, potentially guiding the price back to the corrective bearish trajectory.
The projected trading range for the current session is bounded by the support level at 145.30 and the resistance at 147.00.
Overall, the anticipated trend for today is bullish, but bearish below 146.500.
USD/JPY - Trade Idea
Entry Price – Sell Below 146.436
Take Profit – 145.524
Stop Loss – 146.836
Risk to Reward – 1: 2.2
Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$912/ -$400
Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = +$91/ -$40
GOLD Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal
Daily Price Outlook
The price of gold is currently experiencing a downward movement, testing the critical support level at $1,913.15. This decline is influenced by the negative reading on the stochastic indicator. It's worth noting that the stochastic indicator is gradually showing signs of positive momentum, which could potentially serve as a catalyst for the resumption of the bullish trend. The immediate targets for this upward movement are set at $1,929.00 and $1,945.20.
As a result, the scenario of a bullish trend remains in play. It's important to highlight that a breach below $1,913.15 would invalidate the anticipated upward movement and potentially lead to further price declines. The expected trading range for the current session is anticipated to be between the support level of $1,900.00 and the resistance level of $1,930.00.
GOLD (XAU/USD) - Trade Idea
Entry Price – Sell Below 1919
Take Profit – 1905
Stop Loss – 1930
Risk to Reward – 1: 1.27
Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$1400/ -$1100
Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = +$140/ -$110
EUR/USD Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal
Daily Price Outlook
The EUR/USD currency pair is currently trading around the 1.0880 level, maintaining its position just below this level. Notably, the EMA50 intersects with this resistance, lending further reinforcement to its significance. Meanwhile, the stochastic indicator is displaying a clear loss of its positive momentum, signaling overbought conditions at present.
Given these circumstances, we are inclined to anticipate a bearish correction in the upcoming trading sessions, leading to a resumption of the prevailing bearish trend. It is noteworthy that our target for this movement is situated at 1.0785.
However, a breach of the 1.0880 level would negate the anticipated decline and potentially initiate a recovery, potentially resulting in further intraday gains. The projected trading range for today is positioned between the support level of 1.0770 and the resistance level of 1.0920.
EUR/USD - Trade Idea
Entry Price – Sell Below 1.08748
Take Profit – 1.08022
Stop Loss – 1.09285
Risk to Reward – 1: 13
Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$726/ -$537
Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = +$72/ -$53