Technical Analysis

GOLD Price Analysis – Dec 23, 2024

By LHFX Technical Analysis
Dec 23, 2024
Gold

Daily Price Outlook

Gold prices (XAU/USD) have had a quiet start to the week, moving slowly around $2,627, with a trading range between $2,617.59 and $2,629.30. This sluggishness comes as the US Dollar (USD) remains strong, just below its two-year peak, putting pressure on gold.

At the same time, global geopolitical uncertainties, like the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict and tensions in the Middle East, continue to drive demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.

The Federal Reserve's recent stance, signaling slower rate cuts in 2025, has kept US Treasury yields high, which dampens gold’s potential for major gains. On top of that, a positive mood in global stock markets is capping any significant rise in gold prices.

As the week progresses, traders are closely watching the release of the Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index, hoping it will offer more clarity on the gold market’s short-term direction.

US Dollar Weakens on Softer Inflation Data, Supporting Gold Prices Amid Stable Economic Growth

On the US front, the broad-based US Dollar (USD) remain subdued after the release of the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data on Friday.

The softer inflation numbers for November have raised expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will continue easing its policies in 2025.

According to the CME FedWatch tool, there is now a more than 90% chance that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged at 4.25%-4.50% in January.

The core PCE inflation, which is the Fed’s preferred inflation measure, rose by 2.8% year-over-year, slightly below the expected 2.9%.

Monthly core inflation also grew by just 0.1%, less than the anticipated 0.2%, signaling a slowdown in inflationary pressures.

In addition to the PCE data, other economic indicators also had an impact. The US GDP grew by 3.1% in the third quarter, beating expectations and showing stronger-than-expected economic growth.

Initial Jobless Claims fell to 220,000, better than the forecast of 230,000, indicating a stable labor market.

Despite these positive figures, inflation remains a key concern, with the yearly change in the PCE Price Index rising to 2.4%.

The Fed's recent signal to slow down rate cuts in 2025 caused US Treasury yields to reach their highest level in over six months, adding pressure to the USD.

Therefore, the softer inflation data and the Fed’s likely decision to keep rates unchanged support gold prices by reducing the likelihood of aggressive rate hikes.

However, higher Treasury yields and stable economic growth may limit gold’s potential for significant gains.

GOLD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
GOLD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview

GOLD (XAU/USD) – Technical Analysis

Gold (XAU/USD) is trading at $2,630.70, up 0.27% as it consolidates gains following a steady recovery. The price action remains supported by the $2,620.64 pivot point, while the 50 EMA at $2,622.84 provides dynamic support, reinforcing the bullish sentiment.

The immediate resistance lies at $2,642.56, aligning with the first target for short-term buyers. A breakout above this level could propel gold toward the next resistance at $2,658.33, with a further push targeting $2,674.87.

On the downside, immediate support rests at $2,607.53, with additional layers at $2,593.83 and $2,583.93 providing a safety net for bulls.

The RSI at 60 indicates moderate bullish momentum, but the market requires a decisive move above $2,642.56 to maintain the uptrend.

The broader outlook is cautiously optimistic as geopolitical risks and USD fluctuations continue to shape market sentiment.

Traders are eyeing the upcoming resistance zones, as breaking through these levels could spark accelerated gains.

On the flip side, a breach below $2,620.64 may trigger a pullback, with downside risks increasing if prices dip below the $2,607.53 support.

Gold's technical setup favors buying opportunities above $2,626, with a take-profit target of $2,642 and a stop-loss at $2,614.

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GOLD

Daily Trade Ideas

GOLD Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal

By LHFX Technical Analysis
Dec 23, 2024
Gold

Daily Price Outlook

- Immediate Resistance: $2,642.56; Next targets: $2,658.33, $2,674.87.

- Immediate Support: $2,607.53; Key levels below: $2,593.83, $2,583.93.

- RSI at 60 and 50 EMA at $2,622.84 signal bullish momentum.

Gold (XAU/USD) is trading at $2,630.70, up 0.27% as it consolidates gains following a steady recovery. The price action remains supported by the $2,620.64 pivot point, while the 50 EMA at $2,622.84 provides dynamic support, reinforcing the bullish sentiment.

The immediate resistance lies at $2,642.56, aligning with the first target for short-term buyers. A breakout above this level could propel gold toward the next resistance at $2,658.33, with a further push targeting $2,674.87.

On the downside, immediate support rests at $2,607.53, with additional layers at $2,593.83 and $2,583.93 providing a safety net for bulls.

The RSI at 60 indicates moderate bullish momentum, but the market requires a decisive move above $2,642.56 to maintain the uptrend.

The broader outlook is cautiously optimistic as geopolitical risks and USD fluctuations continue to shape market sentiment.

Traders are eyeing the upcoming resistance zones, as breaking through these levels could spark accelerated gains.

On the flip side, a breach below $2,620.64 may trigger a pullback, with downside risks increasing if prices dip below the $2,607.53 support.

Gold's technical setup favors buying opportunities above $2,626, with a take-profit target of $2,642 and a stop-loss at $2,614.

GOLD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
GOLD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview

GOLD (XAU/USD) - Trade Ideas

Entry Price – Buy Above 2626

Take Profit – 2642

Stop Loss – 2614

Risk to Reward – 1: 1.3

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$1600/ -$1200

Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$160/ -$120

GOLD

Daily Trade Ideas

GOLD Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal

By LHFX Technical Analysis
Dec 20, 2024
Gold

Daily Price Outlook

- Gold faces immediate resistance at $2,626.76; break above could target $2,640.36.

- Support levels at $2,583.95 and $2,568.47 are key for downside protection.

- RSI at 50 signals neutrality, while the 50 EMA at $2,615.16 caps upward momentum.

Gold (XAU/USD) is trading at $2,604.19, up 0.37% on the day, as the metal consolidates above the $2,596.10 pivot point. Despite the modest gains, gold faces immediate resistance at $2,626.76, with further hurdles at $2,640.36.

A sustained break above these levels could open the door for bullish momentum, targeting new highs in the near term. On the downside, immediate support is seen at $2,583.95, followed by stronger levels at $2,568.47 and $2,555.24.

Technical indicators present a mixed picture. The RSI is neutral at 50, suggesting that gold is neither overbought nor oversold. However, the 50 EMA at $2,615.16 indicates near-term bearish pressure, as the price remains below this key moving average. To regain bullish momentum, gold must clear the $2,613 pivot point and stay above the 50 EMA.

The current setup suggests a cautious trading strategy. Traders may look to buy near $2,596 with a stop-loss at $2,584 and a take-profit target of $2,613. A break above $2,626 could justify higher targets, while failure to hold $2,583 may lead to sharper declines.

GOLD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
GOLD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview

GOLD (XAU/USD) - Trade Ideas

Entry Price – Buy Limit 2596

Take Profit – 2613

Stop Loss – 2584

Risk to Reward – 1: 1.4

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$1700/ -$1200

Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$170/ -$120

GOLD

Technical Analysis

GOLD Price Analysis – Dec 20, 2024

By LHFX Technical Analysis
Dec 20, 2024
Gold

Daily Price Outlook

Despite the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance, gold (XAU/USD) has managed to maintain its upward momentum, holding steady around the 2,605 level and even reaching an intra-day high of 2,607.

This bullish trend can largely be attributed to a slight dip in the US dollar, which lost some ground due to a modest pullback in US Treasury bond yields.

Meanwhile, the Fed's signals that it plans to slow the pace of interest rate cuts in 2025 are likely to provide support for US bond yields and the dollar. Additionally, the prevailing risk-off sentiment has kept gold in demand as a safe-haven asset, further boosting its price.

Looking ahead, traders seem cautious to place strong positions ahead of the US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index release.

This key inflation report will impact USD price and could create short-term opportunities in the gold.

Impact of Fed's Hawkish Stance and Economic Uncertainties on Gold

On the US front, the broad-based US dollar has been holding onto its weekly gains, reaching a two-year high.

This is largely due to the Federal Reserve's hawkish signal that it plans to slow the pace of interest rate cuts in 2025, which is supporting the USD. However, this is acting as a headwind for gold.

At the same time, investors are feeling uncertain due to ongoing geopolitical risks, fears of a trade war, and the threat of a US government shutdown.

This is putting pressure on the stock market and driving more demand for safe-haven assets like gold. Traders are also cautious ahead of the release of the US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index, the Fed's preferred measure of inflation.

In addition, the US Treasury bond yields have pulled back from a multi-month high, limiting the USD’s rally.

Positive economic data, like the 3.1% annual GDP growth for the third quarter and a drop in jobless claims, are backing the Fed's stance.

These developments suggest that the Fed will continue with its hawkish approach, which supports the US dollar and bond yields.

However, this outlook also keeps pressure on gold, as the precious metal offers no yield. Gold traders are waiting for further clues from the PCE data before making significant moves.

Therefore, the US dollar's strength, driven by the Fed's hawkish stance and rising bond yields, is limiting gold's upward movement.

In the meantime, the ongoing geopolitical risks and economic uncertainties are supporting gold's safe-haven demand, but traders remain cautious ahead of key inflation data.

GOLD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
GOLD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview

GOLD (XAU/USD) – Technical Analysis

Gold (XAU/USD) is trading at $2,604.19, up 0.37% on the day, as the metal consolidates above the $2,596.10 pivot point. Despite the modest gains, gold faces immediate resistance at $2,626.76, with further hurdles at $2,640.36.

A sustained break above these levels could open the door for bullish momentum, targeting new highs in the near term. On the downside, immediate support is seen at $2,583.95, followed by stronger levels at $2,568.47 and $2,555.24.

Technical indicators present a mixed picture. The RSI is neutral at 50, suggesting that gold is neither overbought nor oversold.

However, the 50 EMA at $2,615.16 indicates near-term bearish pressure, as the price remains below this key moving average. To regain bullish momentum, gold must clear the $2,613 pivot point and stay above the 50 EMA.

The current setup suggests a cautious trading strategy. Traders may look to buy near $2,596 with a stop-loss at $2,584 and a take-profit target of $2,613. A break above $2,626 could justify higher targets, while failure to hold $2,583 may lead to sharper declines.

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GOLD

Technical Analysis

GOLD Price Analysis – Dec 19, 2024

By LHFX Technical Analysis
Dec 19, 2024
Gold

Daily Price Outlook

Gold price (XAU/USD) sustains its upward trend, rebounding strongly from a one-month low and reaching around $2,622 on Thursday’s European session.

However, the rally comes as market sentiment turns sour after the Federal Reserve’s hawkish tone on Wednesday.

Apart from this, the growing geopolitical tensions and trade war fears are pushing investors towards the safety of gold, driving its appeal as a haven asset.

At the same time, the US dollar remains steady, consolidating its post-FOMC gains at a two-year high. Notably, the Fed’s signal to slow the pace of interest rate cuts is boosting US Treasury yields, offering support to the USD. Despite these headwinds, gold remains an attractive choice for investors amid rising uncertainty.

Impact of US Economic Data, Fed's Cautious Approach, and Global Uncertainties on Gold

On the US front, the broad-based US Dollar remains strong after the Federal Reserve (Fed) delivered a cautious 25-basis point rate cut, bringing rates to 4.25%-4.50%, a two-year low.

The Fed’s latest projections, known as the ‘dot-plot,’ now show only two rate cuts in 2025, down from four predicted earlier.

During the press conference, Fed Chair Jerome Powell emphasized that the Fed remains cautious about further rate cuts as inflation stays above the 2% target.

Traders are now focusing on upcoming US data, including Initial Jobless Claims, Existing Home Sales, and the final Q3 GDP reading, which could influence the USD’s momentum.

Recent US economic data has been mixed. November Retail Sales rose 0.7%, exceeding the previous 0.5% growth, while the Retail Sales Control Group saw a slight recovery of 0.4%.

The S&P Global US Composite PMI showed improvement, rising to 56.6 in December from 54.9 earlier, driven by stronger services activity.

However, manufacturing data was less optimistic, with the PMI falling to 48.3 from 49.7, signaling continued contraction in the sector.

These indicators paint a picture of resilience in some areas of the economy but challenges in others, particularly in manufacturing.

On the flip side, China’s economy remains under pressure. Authorities plan to target 5% growth in 2025, the same as this year, amid record net outflows of $45.7 billion from its capital markets in November.

While China focuses on boosting domestic consumption, the lack of concrete fiscal support and looming US tariffs are dampening optimism.

The strong US Dollar, mixed economic data, and Fed's cautious approach to rate cuts weigh on gold's appeal as a non-yielding asset.

Meanwhile, global uncertainties like China's economic struggles and geopolitical risks support gold as a safe-haven asset.

GOLD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
GOLD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview

GOLD (XAU/USD) – Technical Analysis

Gold (XAU/USD) is trading at $2,609.76, gaining 0.94% in today’s session. Despite the uptick, the metal remains below its pivot point at $2,616.77, indicating lingering bearish pressure.

The immediate resistance lies at $2,636.57, followed by stronger hurdles at $2,664.90 and $2,690.55. On the downside, immediate support is seen at $2,576.85, with subsequent supports at $2,559.53 and $2,537.25.

Technical indicators highlight mixed sentiment. The RSI at 35 reflects oversold conditions, suggesting limited downside in the near term. However, the 50 EMA at $2,665.76 positions gold below this critical moving average, signaling that bearish momentum is still dominant.

From a technical perspective, a failure to reclaim the pivot point at $2,616.77 could encourage sellers, pushing gold toward its immediate support at $2,576.85.

A break below this level would expose gold to deeper corrections toward $2,559.53 and $2,537.25. Conversely, a successful move above the pivot could trigger buying interest, targeting $2,636.57 and beyond.

Traders may look for opportunities to sell below $2,620, with potential profit-taking near $2,595 and a stop-loss set at $2,635.

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GOLD

Daily Trade Ideas

GOLD Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal

By LHFX Technical Analysis
Dec 19, 2024
Gold

Daily Price Outlook

- Immediate Resistance: $2,636.57; support at $2,576.85 could be tested.

- RSI Oversold: At 35, indicating limited downside but weak bullish recovery.

- 50 EMA: Gold remains below $2,665.76, confirming bearish momentum.

Gold (XAU/USD) is trading at $2,609.76, gaining 0.94% in today’s session. Despite the uptick, the metal remains below its pivot point at $2,616.77, indicating lingering bearish pressure.

The immediate resistance lies at $2,636.57, followed by stronger hurdles at $2,664.90 and $2,690.55. On the downside, immediate support is seen at $2,576.85, with subsequent supports at $2,559.53 and $2,537.25.

Technical indicators highlight mixed sentiment. The RSI at 35 reflects oversold conditions, suggesting limited downside in the near term. However, the 50 EMA at $2,665.76 positions gold below this critical moving average, signaling that bearish momentum is still dominant.

From a technical perspective, a failure to reclaim the pivot point at $2,616.77 could encourage sellers, pushing gold toward its immediate support at $2,576.85.

A break below this level would expose gold to deeper corrections toward $2,559.53 and $2,537.25. Conversely, a successful move above the pivot could trigger buying interest, targeting $2,636.57 and beyond.

Traders may look for opportunities to sell below $2,620, with potential profit-taking near $2,595 and a stop-loss set at $2,635.

GOLD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
GOLD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview

GOLD (XAU/USD) - Trade Ideas

Entry Price – Sell Below 2620

Take Profit – 2595

Stop Loss – 2635

Risk to Reward – 1: 1.6

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$2500/ -$1500

Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$250/ -$150

GOLD

Technical Analysis

GOLD Price Analysis – Dec 18, 2024

By LHFX Technical Analysis
Dec 18, 2024
Gold

Daily Price Outlook

Gold prices (XAU/USD) are still struggling to break free from their downward trend, lingering around the $2,644 level, with an intraday low of $2,642.

The main reason for this drop seems to be growing expectations that the Federal Reserve will take a more cautious stance on cutting interest rates.

As a result, US Treasury bond yields have strengthened, which boosts the US Dollar (USD) and makes gold less attractive. This is because gold, being a non-yielding asset, tends to lose its appeal when bond yields rise and the dollar strengthens.

Impact of US Economic Data and Fed Expectations on Gold Prices

On the US front, the broad-based US dollar remains strong due to market caution ahead of the Federal Reserve's decision. The CME FedWatch tool shows that markets are almost fully expecting the Fed to cut interest rates by a quarter point in their December meeting.

Traders will also be paying close attention to Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s press conference and the Summary of Economic Projections (dot-plot) after the meeting, which could offer insights into the Fed’s future plans.

On the data front, the US Census Bureau reported a 0.7% increase in retail sales for November, beating the expected 0.5% rise. The Retail Sales Control Group also grew by 0.4%, rebounding from a 0.1% decline previously.

Additionally, the S&P Global Composite PMI for December rose to 56.6 from 54.9, showing stronger economic activity. The Services PMI also improved to 58.5 from 56.1, while the Manufacturing PMI declined slightly to 48.3 from 49.7.

Therefore, the stronger US dollar and mixed economic data, along with expectations of a Fed rate cut, could limit gold's appeal. Higher interest rates and a stronger dollar reduce demand for gold, which doesn't offer yields like bonds or the dollar.

Impact of China’s Economic Outlook and Policy Shifts on Gold Demand

On the other side, China plans to target around 5% economic growth for 2025, the same goal as this year, which is expected to be met. This decision came after a meeting of top Chinese officials at the Central Economic Work Conference.

However, there are concerns about the country's economic performance, as China’s foreign exchange regulator, SAFE, revealed a net outflow of $45.7 billion from China’s capital markets in November.

This was due to a large deficit in cross-border portfolio investments, with $188.9 billion in receipts and $234.6 billion in payments, marking the largest monthly deficit for this category.

In addition, China’s authorities, led by President Xi Jinping, plan to increase the fiscal deficit target for next year, focusing more on boosting consumption to support the economy. This shift in policy comes amid the threat of 10% US tariffs on Chinese exports.

On the data front, China’s retail sales grew by 3.0% year-on-year in November, missing expectations of 4.6%, while industrial production rose by 5.4%, slightly exceeding the 5.3% forecast.

Therefore, China's economic challenges and policy shifts, along with trade tensions, could boost demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.

GOLD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
GOLD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview

GOLD (XAU/USD) – Technical Analysis

Gold prices are trading at $2,647.27, up 0.03%, as the market shows tentative upward movement within a bearish framework.

The key pivot point at $2,654.36 serves as a critical juncture for near-term direction. The 50 EMA at $2,667.06 aligns closely with resistance, reinforcing selling pressure at higher levels.

Immediate resistance is noted at $2,672.93, followed by $2,690.55 and $2,704.46 for further upside tests if momentum shifts.

On the downside, gold is supported initially at $2,634.28, with further levels of $2,617.80 and $2,601.58 offering potential targets for bears.

The RSI at 41 signals bearish momentum but remains neutral enough to allow for a brief recovery before resuming downside pressure.

Traders are watching for a break below the pivot point to confirm bearish dominance, with the suggested entry price for short positions at $2,654, targeting $2,634, while keeping a stop loss at $2,666.

Conversely, sustained movement above $2,672.93 could shift sentiment toward buyers. However, the current setup suggests sellers remain in control below the pivot and 50 EMA.

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GOLD

Daily Trade Ideas

GOLD Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal

By LHFX Technical Analysis
Dec 18, 2024
Gold

Daily Price Outlook

- Gold remains bearish below $2,654, with RSI at 41 confirming weak momentum.

- Key resistance lies at $2,672.93, while immediate support is at $2,634.28.

- Entry for short positions below $2,654 targets $2,634, with a stop at $2,666.

Gold prices are trading at $2,647.27, up 0.03%, as the market shows tentative upward movement within a bearish framework.

The key pivot point at $2,654.36 serves as a critical juncture for near-term direction. The 50 EMA at $2,667.06 aligns closely with resistance, reinforcing selling pressure at higher levels.

Immediate resistance is noted at $2,672.93, followed by $2,690.55 and $2,704.46 for further upside tests if momentum shifts.

On the downside, gold is supported initially at $2,634.28, with further levels of $2,617.80 and $2,601.58 offering potential targets for bears.

The RSI at 41 signals bearish momentum but remains neutral enough to allow for a brief recovery before resuming downside pressure.

Traders are watching for a break below the pivot point to confirm bearish dominance, with the suggested entry price for short positions at $2,654, targeting $2,634, while keeping a stop loss at $2,666.

Conversely, sustained movement above $2,672.93 could shift sentiment toward buyers. However, the current setup suggests sellers remain in control below the pivot and 50 EMA.

GOLD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
GOLD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview

GOLD (XAU/USD) - Trade Ideas

Entry Price – Sell Below 2654

Take Profit – 2634

Stop Loss – 2666

Risk to Reward – 1: 1.6

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$2000/ -$1200

Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$200/ -$120

GOLD

Technical Analysis

GOLD Price Analysis – Dec 17, 2024

By LHFX Technical Analysis
Dec 17, 2024
Gold

Daily Price Outlook

Gold price (XAU/USD) was unable to break its consolidating range and remained stuck between slight gains and minor losses during the European session on Tuesday.

It is currently trading near 2,638 level close to the one-week low reached the previous day, as traders seemed hesitant and opted to wait for clearer signals on the Federal Reserve's (Fed) rate-cut plans before making new bets.

However, the reason can be linked to the ongoing expectations for a less dovish Fed, which continued to support higher US Treasury bond yields. This gave the US Dollar some strength and creating downward pressure on Gold.

On the flip side, ongoing geopolitical risks, particularly from the Russia-Ukraine war and Middle East tensions, still provided support to Gold as a safe-haven asset. Traders are now eyeing the US Retail Sales data later today for further market direction.

US Dollar Strengthens Amid Robust Economic Data and Fed Rate Speculation

On the US front, the broad-based US Dollar has been gaining strength due to recent data showing strong growth in the US economy. The S&P Global flash US Services PMI for December rose to its highest level in 38 months, jumping from 56.1 to 58.5.

Meanwhile, the Composite PMI increased to 56.6, a 33-month high. This solid economic performance, despite a dip in the Manufacturing PMI, has raised expectations that the Federal Reserve may not be as dovish as previously anticipated.

Traders are waiting for more clarity on the Fed's rate-cut plans, leading to a quieter, range-bound market ahead of the important FOMC policy decision on Wednesday.

Meanwhile, the US Dollar's rise has put pressure on non-yielding assets like Gold. Higher US Treasury bond yields are supporting the Dollar, while geopolitical risks, such as tensions with North Korea, Russia, and Yemen, are pushing investors toward safe-haven assets like Gold.

Despite this, markets are focusing on the upcoming US Retail Sales data and the Fed's meeting later this week for potential market-moving updates.

Investors are also keeping a close eye on the impact of US President-elect Donald Trump's policies, which could affect inflation and force the Fed to adjust its rate-cut cycle.

GOLD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
GOLD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview

GOLD (XAU/USD) – Technical Analysis

Gold (XAU/USD) remains under pressure, trading near $2,648.85, down 0.14% as bearish momentum dominates the session. On the 4-hour chart, Gold has slipped below the key pivot point at $2,654.36, indicating weak sentiment.

Immediate resistance stands at $2,672.93, where the 50-EMA sits slightly higher at $2,678.78, capping upside movement. A sustained push above this level could expose Gold to the next resistance levels at $2,690.55 and $2,707.78.

On the downside, immediate support holds firm at $2,634.28, with sellers eyeing the next critical levels at $2,617.80 and $2,601.58.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits at 36, suggesting Gold is approaching oversold territory but still maintaining a bearish bias.

Technical indicators confirm downward pressure, as the price trades below both the pivot point and the 50-EMA, signaling strong seller control. If bears maintain momentum, a break below $2,634.28 could trigger a sharper decline.

However, any reversal above the $2,654.36 pivot would shift sentiment back in favor of the bulls, though immediate upside remains limited.

Conclusion: A Sell Stop entry at $2,647 is favored, targeting $2,634 as a take-profit level, with a stop-loss at $2,659 to mitigate risk.

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GOLD

Daily Trade Ideas

GOLD Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal

By LHFX Technical Analysis
Dec 17, 2024
Gold

Daily Price Outlook

- Gold trades below the pivot at $2,654.36, with immediate resistance at $2,672.93.

- RSI at 36 signals approaching oversold conditions, maintaining a bearish outlook.

- Entry strategy: Sell Stop $2,647, Take Profit $2,634, Stop Loss $2,659.

Gold (XAU/USD) remains under pressure, trading near $2,648.85, down 0.14% as bearish momentum dominates the session. On the 4-hour chart, Gold has slipped below the key pivot point at $2,654.36, indicating weak sentiment.

Immediate resistance stands at $2,672.93, where the 50-EMA sits slightly higher at $2,678.78, capping upside movement. A sustained push above this level could expose Gold to the next resistance levels at $2,690.55 and $2,707.78.

On the downside, immediate support holds firm at $2,634.28, with sellers eyeing the next critical levels at $2,617.80 and $2,601.58.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits at 36, suggesting Gold is approaching oversold territory but still maintaining a bearish bias.

Technical indicators confirm downward pressure, as the price trades below both the pivot point and the 50-EMA, signaling strong seller control. If bears maintain momentum, a break below $2,634.28 could trigger a sharper decline.

However, any reversal above the $2,654.36 pivot would shift sentiment back in favor of the bulls, though immediate upside remains limited.

Conclusion: A Sell Stop entry at $2,647 is favored, targeting $2,634 as a take-profit level, with a stop-loss at $2,659 to mitigate risk.

GOLD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
GOLD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview

GOLD (XAU/USD) - Trade Ideas

Entry Price – Sell Stop 2647

Take Profit – 2634

Stop Loss – 2659

Risk to Reward – 1: 1.08

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$1300/ -$1200

Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$130/ -$120

GOLD