GOLD Price Analysis – Feb 14, 2025
Daily Price Outlook
Gold price (XAU/USD) maintained its upward trend and hit an all-time high of $2,939. The rally was mainly supported by increased demand for safe-haven assets after US President Donald Trump signed an executive order for reciprocal tariffs on Thursday.
Although the tariffs will take weeks to be implemented, investors are playing it safe and shifting their money into Gold, pushing its price higher.
Another reason for Gold’s strong performance is the weakening US Dollar (USD). The US Dollar Index (DXY) has lost traction as traders realize that Trump's tariffs won’t take effect immediately, leaving room for negotiations.
This uncertainty has reduced the urgency to rush into the Dollar, making Gold a more attractive option for investors looking for stability.
Gold Near Record Highs as US Dollar Struggles and Inflation Concerns Rise
On the US front, the broad-based US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the strength of the Dollar against other major currencies, is holding steady after losses in the previous session. It remains around the 107.00 level, with US Treasury bond yields for 2-year and 10-year notes standing at 4.31% and 4.53%, respectively.
Inflation figures also came in higher than expected, with both the Producer Price Index (PPI) and Consumer Price Index (CPI) rising more than anticipated. This has led to expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will hold off on cutting interest rates for now.
The Fed's stance on rates remains cautious due to the strong job market and economic growth. In his semi-annual report, Fed Chair Powell mentioned there’s no rush to lower rates, especially with rising inflation pressures.
Trump’s tariffs on several countries could also contribute to higher prices, making it more difficult for the Fed to ease rates anytime soon. This uncertainty about inflation and rate cuts has kept Gold attractive, pushing its price to near record highs.
Gold has been on the rise for three days, recently trading close to its all-time high. With the US dollar struggling and trade tensions increasing due to Trump’s tariff orders, Gold remains a safe-haven investment.
GOLD (XAU/USD) – Technical Analysis
Gold (XAU/USD) is trading at $2,932.09, up 0.01% as it maintains its bullish momentum amid persistent inflation concerns and ongoing tariff-related market anxiety.
The metal remains supported above its pivot point of $2,923.29, indicating continued investor interest in safe-haven assets.
Technically, gold is trading comfortably above the 50-day EMA, which sits at $2,907.75. This suggests the bullish trend remains intact, with the next immediate resistance at $2,943.27.
A break above this level could propel gold toward $2,959.89 and potentially $2,975.66 if the upward momentum strengthens.
On the downside, immediate support lies at $2,898.08, followed by $2,879.70 and $2,864.94. A dip below the $2,898 level might trigger profit-taking and shift sentiment to the downside.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains near neutral, signaling balanced market sentiment with room for potential upside if buying pressure increases.
Fundamentally, gold continues to benefit from a weaker U.S. dollar and elevated inflation figures, as the latest PPI data showed a 3.5% year-over-year rise, exceeding market expectations.
The Federal Reserve's cautious approach toward rate cuts further supports gold’s appeal, particularly as uncertainty surrounding new tariff measures persists.
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GOLD Price Analysis – Feb 13, 2025
Daily Price Outlook
Gold prices (XAU/USD) extended their bullish momentum, reaching an intra-day high of $2,922. The recent surge is largely attributed to a decline in US Treasury bond yields, which weakened the US Dollar and made gold more attractive to investors.
Furthermore, growing fears of a global trade war, fueled by former US President Donald Trump’s aggressive tariff policies, have intensified demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Despite gold’s strong upward trend, the concerns over rising US inflation persist. On the data front, the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) report revealed a higher-than-expected increase in consumer prices, reinforcing speculation that the Federal Reserve will maintain its hawkish stance.
Hence, the prospect of prolonged high interest rates could pose challenges for gold’s rally, as rising US Treasury yields and a stronger Dollar typically reduce the appeal of non-yielding assets like gold.
US Dollar Struggles Amid Inflation Concerns and Trade Tariffs, Supporting Gold Prices
On the macroeconomic front, the US Dollar has struggled to gain momentum, providing additional support for gold. The latest US inflation report initially triggered market volatility, but persistent concerns over former US President Donald Trump’s newly imposed tariffs kept safe-haven demand strong.
Trump’s decision to impose a 25% tariff on steel and aluminum imports, along with threats of additional tariffs on countries with high levies on US goods, has heightened market uncertainty.
On the data front, the US inflation data showed that consumer prices surged in January, with the CPI rising by 0.5%, marking the highest increase since August 2023. The annual inflation rate climbed to 3%, while core inflation (excluding food and energy) rose to 3.3%, exceeding market expectations.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has emphasized that inflation remains a key concern, making it unlikely that the central bank will cut interest rates until inflation moves closer to the 2% target.
Meanwhile, strong US economic data, including robust job market performance and GDP growth, further supports the Fed’s cautious stance.
Investors are now turning their attention to the upcoming Producer Price Index (PPI) report, which could provide additional clarity on inflation trends.
If inflation remains elevated, gold and silver prices may face resistance, but if inflation shows signs of easing, both metals could continue their bullish momentum.
GOLD (XAU/USD) – Technical Analysis
Gold (XAU/USD) is trading at $2917.37, showing slight downside pressure as it hovers just below its pivot point of $2922.88. The 50-day EMA at $2900.68 provides a crucial support level, reinforcing near-term stability. However, the bearish sentiment remains intact as long as gold stays below the pivot.
On the upside, immediate resistance stands at $2943.27, with a breakout potentially pushing gold towards $2959.89 and ultimately $2975.96. However, recent price action suggests that buyers are struggling to gain control, making a sustained move above these levels uncertain.
On the downside, immediate support is set at $2898.08, followed by $2879.70 and $2864.94. A break below these levels could accelerate selling momentum, with traders eyeing the next key levels for potential entry points.
The entry strategy favors selling below $2922, targeting $2900 as a take-profit level, while stop-loss is set at $2935 to manage risk. The overall trend suggests cautious bearish sentiment, with gold needing a decisive breakout above resistance levels to shift momentum back in favor of buyers.
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GOLD Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal
Daily Price Outlook
- Gold remains bearish below $2922.88, with $2898.08 as key support and $2943.27 as the next major resistance.
- 50-day EMA at $2900.68 acts as a crucial pivot for near-term price action.
- Break below $2898.08 could accelerate selling toward $2879.70, while a breakout above $2943.27 may trigger bullish momentum.
Gold (XAU/USD) is trading at $2917.37, showing slight downside pressure as it hovers just below its pivot point of $2922.88. The 50-day EMA at $2900.68 provides a crucial support level, reinforcing near-term stability. However, the bearish sentiment remains intact as long as gold stays below the pivot.
On the upside, immediate resistance stands at $2943.27, with a breakout potentially pushing gold towards $2959.89 and ultimately $2975.96. However, recent price action suggests that buyers are struggling to gain control, making a sustained move above these levels uncertain.
On the downside, immediate support is set at $2898.08, followed by $2879.70 and $2864.94. A break below these levels could accelerate selling momentum, with traders eyeing the next key levels for potential entry points.
The entry strategy favors selling below $2922, targeting $2900 as a take-profit level, while stop-loss is set at $2935 to manage risk. The overall trend suggests cautious bearish sentiment, with gold needing a decisive breakout above resistance levels to shift momentum back in favor of buyers.
GOLD (XAU/USD) - Trade Ideas
Entry Price – Sell Below 2922
Take Profit – 2900
Stop Loss – 2935
Risk to Reward – 1:1.6
Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$2200/ -$1300
Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$220/ -$130
GOLD Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal
Daily Price Outlook
- Gold trades below $2,898.48 pivot; bearish bias prevails.
- Immediate resistance at $2,943.27, with a breakout needed for further gains.
- Support at $2,862.33—break below could extend losses to $2,833.82.
Gold (XAU/USD) is experiencing downward pressure, trading at $2,886.14, slipping 0.01% as the stronger U.S. dollar and hawkish Federal Reserve outlook weigh on sentiment. The metal remains below its pivot point at $2,898.48, signaling a potential continuation of bearish momentum.
On the technical front, the 50-day EMA at $2,854.23 is acting as a key support level, while immediate resistance stands at $2,943.27. A break above this level could trigger further upside towards $2,966.54, with an extended rally possible up to $2,990.75. However, the current structure suggests a lower probability of a breakout as long as the dollar remains strong.
Downside risks persist, with $2,862.33 serving as immediate support. A break below this level could accelerate selling pressure, exposing $2,833.82 and potentially deeper support at $2,806.78. Given the setup, traders may consider short positions below $2,898, targeting $2,862, with a stop loss at $2,920 to manage risk.
Gold’s near-term trend will likely be dictated by upcoming U.S. economic data, particularly inflation figures and any shifts in Federal Reserve rate expectations. If inflation softens, gold could regain ground; however, persistently high inflation may reinforce the dollar’s strength, limiting gold’s upside potential.
GOLD (XAU/USD) - Trade Ideas
Entry Price – Sell Below 2898
Take Profit – 2862
Stop Loss – 2920
Risk to Reward – 1:1.6
Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$3600/ -$2200
Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$360/ -$220
GOLD Price Analysis – Feb 12, 2025
Daily Price Outlook
Gold prices (XAU/USD) continue to slide, struggling to find support around the $2,890 level, with an intra-day dip to $2,883. However, the main reason behind this decline is the strengthening US Dollar, which gained momentum after Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s comments on Tuesday.
His remarks signaled that the Federal Reserve may keep interest rates higher for longer, reducing the appeal of gold. As a result, investors are leaning towards the dollar, putting further pressure on gold prices.
Meanwhile, the upbeat mood in the markets has made investors less interested in gold, which is typically seen as a safe-haven asset. On top of that, worries about a potential economic slowdown fueled by former US President Donald Trump’s trade tariffs and the risk of a global trade war could still keep gold from falling too much, as investors may turn back to it for safety.
Stronger US Dollar and Fed’s Cautious Stance Weigh on Gold Prices
On the US front, the broad-based US Dollar Index (DXY) is holding strong near 108.00 as traders await key inflation data. The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, set to be released on Wednesday, is expected to show headline inflation steady at 2.9% year-over-year, while core inflation may slightly dip to 3.1% from 3.2%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell, in his testimony to Congress, stated that the central bank is in no rush to cut interest rates, citing a strong job market and stable economic growth.
He also warned that former President Donald Trump's new tariffs on imports could push prices higher, making it even harder for the Fed to lower rates.
Consequently, the market now expects the Federal Reserve to delay interest rate cuts, possibly until the next quarter, as inflation concerns remain.
Many economists who previously predicted a rate cut in March have revised their expectations, with most now anticipating a cut by June.
As a result, the US Dollar continues to gain strength as the Fed signals a cautious approach, following January’s jobs report, which showed slowing job growth but a lower unemployment rate.
Meanwhile, Fed officials have expressed mixed views, with some, like Neel Kashkari, open to supporting rate cuts if inflation data improves while the job market stays strong.
For gold prices, this outlook is bearish, as a stronger US Dollar and delayed rate cuts make the precious metal less attractive. Moreover, Trump's decision to expand tariffs on steel and aluminum could further fuel inflation, potentially forcing the Fed to keep rates higher for longer.
GOLD (XAU/USD) – Technical Analysis
Gold (XAU/USD) is experiencing downward pressure, trading at $2,886.14, slipping 0.01% as the stronger U.S. dollar and hawkish Federal Reserve outlook weigh on sentiment. The metal remains below its pivot point at $2,898.48, signaling a potential continuation of bearish momentum.
On the technical front, the 50-day EMA at $2,854.23 is acting as a key support level, while immediate resistance stands at $2,943.27. A break above this level could trigger further upside towards $2,966.54, with an extended rally possible up to $2,990.75. However, the current structure suggests a lower probability of a breakout as long as the dollar remains strong.
Downside risks persist, with $2,862.33 serving as immediate support. A break below this level could accelerate selling pressure, exposing $2,833.82 and potentially deeper support at $2,806.78. Given the setup, traders may consider short positions below $2,898, targeting $2,862, with a stop loss at $2,920 to manage risk.
Gold’s near-term trend will likely be dictated by upcoming U.S. economic data, particularly inflation figures and any shifts in Federal Reserve rate expectations. If inflation softens, gold could regain ground; however, persistently high inflation may reinforce the dollar’s strength, limiting gold’s upside potential.
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GOLD Price Analysis – Feb 11, 2025
Daily Price Outlook
Gold’s price (XAU/USD) surged to an intra-day high of $2,942 but struggled to maintain its gains, dropping to around $2,902. The decline is driven by shifting market sentiment and growing uncertainty over US monetary policy.
Investors are closely watching Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s testimony to lawmakers. Powell is expected to emphasize the strength of the US economy, suggesting that the Fed is in no rush to cut interest rates. This is bearish for Gold, as higher rates make non-yielding assets like Gold less attractive.
Besides this, former US President Donald Trump has imposed a 25% tariff on steel and aluminum imports for all countries. China has responded with quiet retaliatory tariffs but hasn’t taken aggressive action yet. Markets remain cautious, but with no major escalation, safe-haven demand for Gold is fading.
If Powell maintains a hawkish stance, Gold could see further downside. However, any unexpected geopolitical tensions or economic slowdown could still provide support.
Strong US Dollar and Delayed Fed Rate Cuts Weigh on Gold Prices
On the US front, the broad-based US Dollar continues to rise for the fourth straight session, reaching near 108.50. This strength comes as expectations for Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts are shifting.
However, the recent Reuters poll suggests that the Fed may delay cutting interest rates until the next quarter due to rising inflation concerns. Many analysts who previously expected a rate cut in March now anticipate it happening by June, though opinions remain divided.
On the data front, the latest US jobs report showed that Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) increased by only 143,000 in January, far below December’s 307,000. However, the Unemployment Rate unexpectedly fell to 4% from 4.1%.
Initial Jobless Claims also rose to 219K, higher than expected, signaling some labor market weakness. Despite these mixed signals, Fed officials remain cautious about inflation, making them hesitant to cut rates too soon.
For Gold (XAU/USD), the strong US dollar and delayed rate-cut expectations are bearish factors. Higher interest rates make Gold less attractive compared to yield-bearing assets. If the Fed maintains a hawkish stance, Gold could face further downside pressure in the near term.
GOLD (XAU/USD) – Technical Analysis
Gold (XAU/USD) is currently trading at $2,866.29, down 0.02%, as investors assess the metal’s resilience amid shifting macroeconomic conditions. The precious metal remains in a consolidation phase, hovering near key support levels while facing resistance from recent highs.
From a technical perspective, gold’s pivot point at $2,906.72 serves as a crucial inflection level. A break above this level could reinforce bullish sentiment, leading to an upward push toward immediate resistance at $2,943.27. If momentum continues, gold could challenge $2,966.54, with a potential test of $2,990.75, marking a significant hurdle for further gains.
On the downside, immediate support sits at $2,882.03, followed by $2,859.72 and $2,833.82. A drop below $2,859.72 would signal a deeper correction, potentially exposing gold to a retest of the 50-day EMA at $2,839.99. A sustained breakdown under $2,833.82 could trigger additional selling pressure, shifting sentiment in favor of bears.
Traders should closely monitor gold’s reaction near the $2,906.72 pivot. A sustained break above this level favors continued gains, while a rejection could lead to further downside.
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GOLD Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal
Daily Price Outlook
- Gold’s key pivot level at $2,906.72 will determine its next directional move.
- Breakout above $2,943.27 could trigger further upside toward $2,966.54 and $2,990.75.
- Support at $2,882.03 and $2,859.72 remains crucial; a drop below could signal further weakness.
Gold (XAU/USD) is currently trading at $2,866.29, down 0.02%, as investors assess the metal’s resilience amid shifting macroeconomic conditions. The precious metal remains in a consolidation phase, hovering near key support levels while facing resistance from recent highs.
From a technical perspective, gold’s pivot point at $2,906.72 serves as a crucial inflection level. A break above this level could reinforce bullish sentiment, leading to an upward push toward immediate resistance at $2,943.27. If momentum continues, gold could challenge $2,966.54, with a potential test of $2,990.75, marking a significant hurdle for further gains.
On the downside, immediate support sits at $2,882.03, followed by $2,859.72 and $2,833.82. A drop below $2,859.72 would signal a deeper correction, potentially exposing gold to a retest of the 50-day EMA at $2,839.99. A sustained breakdown under $2,833.82 could trigger additional selling pressure, shifting sentiment in favor of bears.
Traders should closely monitor gold’s reaction near the $2,906.72 pivot. A sustained break above this level favors continued gains, while a rejection could lead to further downside.
GOLD (XAU/USD) - Trade Ideas
Entry Price – Buy Above 2914
Take Profit – 2943
Stop Loss – 2891
Risk to Reward – 1:1.2
Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$2900/ -$2300
Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$290/ -$230
GOLD Price Analysis – Feb 10, 2025
Daily Price Outlook
Gold price (XAU/USD) extended its strong bullish rally and hit an all-time high of $2,900. However, the main reason behind this surge could be growing uncertainty in global markets after US President Donald Trump announced new trade measures. He stated that he would introduce "reciprocal tariffs" on multiple countries by Tuesday or Wednesday.
Moreover, he mentioned a 25% tariff on all steel and aluminum imports into the US but did not specify the exact timeline. These announcements have fueled concerns about global trade tensions, pushing investors toward safe-haven assets like gold.
Moving ahead, traders are now focusing on Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell’s upcoming testimony on Tuesday and Wednesday.
Powell is expected to emphasize the strength of the US economy, suggesting that the central bank is in no rush to cut interest rates. This could be a negative factor for gold, as lower interest rates generally boost gold prices by making it more attractive compared to interest-bearing assets.
Gold Remains Strong Amid US Dollar Surge and Market Uncertainty
On the US front, the broad-based US dollar has been gaining strength, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) rising above 108.00. This surge comes after the Federal Reserve (Fed) signaled that it might keep interest rates steady this year. The decision follows January’s jobs report, which showed slower job growth but a lower unemployment rate.
On the data front, US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) increased by 143,000 in January, much lower than December’s 307,000, but the unemployment rate dropped slightly to 4%. Higher-than-expected jobless claims also added some uncertainty to the labor market outlook.
Meanwhile, several Fed officials have shared mixed views on the economy. Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee warned that inconsistent government policies create uncertainty, making it difficult for the Fed to predict inflation trends.
However, Fed Governor Adriana Kugler noted that the US economy remains strong overall, though inflation progress has been uneven. Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari said he would support rate cuts if inflation continues to improve and the labor market remains solid.
On the flip side, China’s inflation data also grabbed attention. The country’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.5% annually in January, higher than December’s 0.1% increase, while producer prices continued to decline.
These developments have added to market uncertainty, keeping gold prices elevated as investors seek safe-haven assets amid global economic concerns.
Therefore, the strong US dollar and steady Fed policy typically pressure gold, but market uncertainty, trade tensions, and China’s inflation data are fueling safe-haven demand. Despite dollar strength, gold remains higher as investors hedge against economic risks and potential future policy shifts.
GOLD (XAU/USD) – Technical Analysis
Gold (XAU/USD) is trading at $2,878.06, down 0.02%, as it consolidates within a tight range following recent gains.
Despite the minor pullback, the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $2,821.70 continues to act as a dynamic support level, reinforcing the broader bullish structure. The metal remains in an uptrend, with price action favoring further upside if key resistance levels are breached.
The pivot point at $2,870.28 serves as an essential reference level—holding above it keeps bullish momentum intact.
The immediate resistance sits at $2,886.25, with stronger hurdles at $2,900.69 and $2,914.05. A breakout beyond these levels could accelerate gains toward fresh highs, particularly if market sentiment remains risk-averse amid ongoing economic uncertainties.
On the downside, support is firm at $2,849.52, with deeper retracements targeting $2,833.82 and $2,820.54. A sustained drop below these levels would shift momentum in favor of sellers, potentially exposing gold to further declines.
However, given the prevailing demand for safe-haven assets, dips are likely to attract fresh buying interest.
Traders should monitor the $2,872 level, as holding above this threshold could validate a continuation toward $2,890, while a drop below $2,857 may trigger increased selling pressure.
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GOLD Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal
Daily Price Outlook
- Gold remains bullish above $2,870, with immediate upside potential toward $2,900 and $2,914.
- The 50-day EMA at $2,821.70 provides strong support, reinforcing the overall upward trend.
- Break below $2,857 may shift momentum bearish, with downside targets at $2,849 and $2,833.
Gold (XAU/USD) is trading at $2,878.06, down 0.02%, as it consolidates within a tight range following recent gains.
Despite the minor pullback, the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $2,821.70 continues to act as a dynamic support level, reinforcing the broader bullish structure. The metal remains in an uptrend, with price action favoring further upside if key resistance levels are breached.
The pivot point at $2,870.28 serves as an essential reference level—holding above it keeps bullish momentum intact.
The immediate resistance sits at $2,886.25, with stronger hurdles at $2,900.69 and $2,914.05. A breakout beyond these levels could accelerate gains toward fresh highs, particularly if market sentiment remains risk-averse amid ongoing economic uncertainties.
On the downside, support is firm at $2,849.52, with deeper retracements targeting $2,833.82 and $2,820.54. A sustained drop below these levels would shift momentum in favor of sellers, potentially exposing gold to further declines.
However, given the prevailing demand for safe-haven assets, dips are likely to attract fresh buying interest.
Traders should monitor the $2,872 level, as holding above this threshold could validate a continuation toward $2,890, while a drop below $2,857 may trigger increased selling pressure.
GOLD (XAU/USD) - Trade Ideas
Entry Price – Buy Above 2872
Take Profit – 2890
Stop Loss – 2857
Risk to Reward – 1:1.6
Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$1800/ -$1500
Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$180/ -$150
GOLD Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal
Daily Price Outlook
- Gold faces resistance at $2,882.76; a break above could target $2,900+.
- Failure to hold $2,870 may accelerate losses toward $2,840.79.
- 50-day EMA at $2,843.26 provides key support for bullish recovery.
Gold (XAU/USD) is trading at $2,862.60, up 0.24%, as the market weighs economic uncertainty and potential Federal Reserve policy shifts. Gold remains supported by safe-haven demand amid ongoing trade tensions and expectations of rate cuts, but technical indicators suggest a pivotal level is in play.
Key Technical Levels and Trend Analysis
The pivot point at $2,870.28 serves as a critical threshold for price action. A sustained break below this level could open the door for further downside toward $2,840.79, followed by stronger support at $2,824.53 and $2,810.70. These levels could attract buyers if broader risk sentiment turns defensive.
On the upside, immediate resistance stands at $2,882.76, with the next hurdles at $2,900.69 and $2,914.05. A close above these resistance levels would reinforce bullish momentum, potentially setting the stage for a push toward new highs.
The 50-day EMA at $2,843.26 suggests that gold remains well-supported in its current trend. However, the price is teetering around the pivot, indicating potential for short-term consolidation. If gold fails to hold $2,870, selling pressure could accelerate, leading to a sharper pullback.
The near-term outlook remains bearish below $2,870, with a recommended sell entry below this level, targeting $2,850 as a take-profit zone. A stop-loss at $2,882 is advised to mitigate risk in case of an upside breakout.
GOLD (XAU/USD) - Trade Ideas
Entry Price – Sell Below 2870
Take Profit – 2850
Stop Loss – 2882
Risk to Reward – 1:1.6
Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$2000/ -$1200
Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$200/ -$120