50% Fibonacci Retracement In Play!

The BTC/USD closed at $54020.5 after placing a high of $54320.9 and a low of $48815.9. Bitcoin prices reversed their course on Monday after dropping for five consecutive days. Last day, Bitcoin fell to its lowest since March 5 at $47098 level. Bitcoin reversed its direction and recovered most of its losses from the previous four sessions, and posted a massive recovery amid increased optimism surrounding the cryptocurrency market on the back of various positive news.

On Monday, a report issued at CoinDesk, JP Morgan Chase & Co. will offer an actively managed bitcoin fund to its clients later this year. This move was a significant change for a bank whose CEO once called bitcoin a dangerous fraud. This fund will be for clients in JP Morgan's private wealth division and could roll out this summer.

If such funds become available, JP Morgan would be joining a growing number of legacy financial firms that want to offer bitcoin exposure to its clients. In March, Goldman Sachs announced a similar move, while Morgan Stanley announced one earlier this month. Bitcoin prices that were already recovering from a sharp sell-off last week added to their gains on the back of this report.

Furthermore, the National Football League (NFL) tight end Sean Culkin stated that he would be converting his entire 2021 salary into bitcoin on Monday. Culkin plays for the Kansas City Chiefs, and this decision by him would make him the first player in NFL history to convert his entire annual salary to bitcoin. This news also supported the positive tone surrounding Bitcoin on Monday and added in its gains.

Meanwhile, the President and CEO of PayPal, Dan Schulman, has said that the demand for cryptocurrency assets has surpassed the company's expectations. In his latest interview with TIME magazine, Schulman forecasted a sharp decline in the use f cash and said that Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies could take advantage of that.

PayPal allowed cryptocurrency payments in 2020, and the company has seen a significant surge in crypto-related transactions in the last few months. The company does its business in more than 200 countries and deals in more than 100 currencies. Last year, PayPal processed 15.4 billion payments, with $936 billion. Bitcoin gains were further increased after these comments from the CEO of PayPal.

BTC/USD Intraday Technical Levels

Support Resistance

51220 52839

48010.9 55954

47683.0 58307

Pivot Point: 53355.1

BTC/USD - Technical Outlook 

The BTC/USD trades sharply bullish at 53,955 level, covering most of its losses. The cryptocurrency has completed 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at 53,934 level. The BTC/USD pair has violated 51,234 resistance on the four-hourly timeframe, and now it's heading further north to complete 50% Fibonacci retracement at 55,950 level. The leading technical indicator RSI exhibits a bullish crossover as its value is crossing over 50, suggesting a strong bullish reversal in Bitcoin. Whereas the MACD is still holding the sell zone, the immediate histograms are becoming smaller and smaller, suggestings sellers are getting exhausted, and bulls are taking control. On the higher side, bitcoin may find resistance at 55,954 and 58,370 levels today. All the best!

Upward Channel Breakout

The precious metal gold closed at $1,777.00 after placing a high of $1,794.50 and a low of $1,772.00. Gold prices extended their losses on Friday amid a strong U.S. dollar due to a better-than-expected U.S. macro-economic data release. The stronger than expected U.S. home sales prompted a surge in U.S. Treasury yields that reduced the investment appeal in precious metal. In the past week, gold has shown a series of impressive gains as both the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield and the dollar index retreated.

On the data front, at 18:45 GMT, the Flash manufacturing PMI for April remained flat with the expectations of 60.6. The Flash Services PMI rose in April to 63.1 against the forecasted 61.6 and supported the U.S. dollar that weighed on gold prices. At 19:00 GMT, the New Home Sales in March rose to 1021K against the projected 885K and supported the U.S. dollar, and added further pressure over the precious metal. The U.S. Home Sales rose at the fastest pace in March since 2006 and gave strength to the greenback that added further losses in the yellow metal prices. Furthermore, the U.S. dollar was also strong on Friday as health officials of the country announced that after more than a year of trauma and heartbreak, states were returning to normalcy. According to state officials, they were close to the finish line as the country moved forward with the rollout of COVID-vaccinations.

As to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, about 138.6 million people in the U.S. have undergone at least one coronavirus vaccine shot, and about 1.3 million more were getting the first dose every day. More than 80% of people above 65 ages have had one dose and will likewise complete vaccination. The fact that the U.S. was achieving its goals of inoculating vaccine shots earlier than its schedule also supported the rising trend in the U.S. dollar and weighed on yellow metal prices.

The U.S. Treasury, on a 10-year note, rose to 1.5820% on Friday that helped the U.S. dollar, and supported bearish pressure over the yellow metal. Despite a sudden decline in U.S. Dollar Index on Friday to its lowest level since March 3 at 90.81, yellow metal posted losses on the ending day of the week.

Gold Intraday Technical Level

Support Resistance

1775.74 1790.44

1770.27 1799.67

1761.04 1805.14

Pivot Point: 1784.97

Gold - XAU/USD - Technical Outlook 

Gold is trading with a slight bullish recovery at $1,780 level, having supported at 1,773 level. The precious metal violated the upward channel on the hourly timeframe on Friday, leading the gold price towards a 1,773 support level. Currently, gold is trading at 1,781 level and heading north to complete 50% Fibonacci retracement at 1,783 level. Next resistance stays at 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of 1,786. It's interesting to know that the same level is also extended by 50 periods EMA and previously violated upward channel; thus, this level will be a substantial hurdle for gold bulls. All the best and have a fantastic week ahead!

Double Bottom Support

The EUR/USD closed at 1.2100 after placing a high of 1.2100 and a low of 1.2012. After posting losses for three days, the EUR/USD pair rebounded strongly and reached its highest since March 3 at a 1.2100 level. The EUR/USD exchange rate spiked higher on Friday amid the weakness in the US dollar. In early European trading hours, the US dollar remained weak across the board as investors turn their attention onto next week’s Federal Reserve meeting. Furthermore, the single currency Euro was also strong in Friday’s European session due to better than expected macro-economic data from the Europe side.

The US Dollar Index that traces the greenback versus a basket of six other currencies fell on Friday to its lowest since March 3 at 90.81 and weighed heavily on the US dollar, ultimately pushing EUR/USD pair higher. Nevertheless, the US dollar picked up some strength after analysing American macro-economic data during the second half of the day.

At 12:15 GMT, the French Flash Services PMI in April surged to 50.4 against the forecasted 46.6 and supported single currency Euro that added further strength in EUR/USD pair. The French Flash Manufacturing PMI remained flat with the projected 59.2. At 12:30 GMT, German Flash Manufacturing PMI increased to 66.4 against the forecasted 65.8 and supported Euro that added further gains in EUR/USD pair. German Flash Services PMI dropped in April to 50.1 against the predicted 51.1 and weighed on Euro that capped further EUR/USD pair gains. At 13:00 GMT, the Flash manufacturing PMI from the whole bloc surged to 63.3 against the anticipated 62.0 and supported Euro and pushed EUR/USD pair higher. The Flash Services PMI surpassed the expectations of 49.1 and came in as 50.3 giving strength to Euro that added further upward momentum in EUR/USD exchange rate.

From the US side, at 18:45 GMT, the Flash manufacturing PMI for April remained flat with the forecasts of 60.6. The Flash Services PMI surged in April to 63.1 against the projected 61.6, supported the US dollar, and capped further EUR/USD pair gains. At 19:00 GMT, the New Home Sales in March surged to 1021K against the expected 885K and supported the US dollar, and limited the upward trend in EUR/USD pair. The EU member countries started to administer Johnson & Johnson’s coronavirus vaccine after Europe’s drug regulator backed the single-dose shot. The European Medicines Agency announced a possible link to rare blood clotting disorder and stressed that the benefit of shot outweighed the risks. This will assist speed up the vaccination process in the EU and support economic recovery. These optimistic hopes raised optimism and supported the single currency Euro that added further EUR/USD pair gains.

On Friday, the European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde said that the European monetary authority has plans to keep interest rates and coronavirus stimulus constant. She added that the bloc’s economy was still on crutches and in need of support from both central bank and government spending as the Eurozone was undergoing extended lockdowns.

EURUSD Intraday Technical Levels

Support Resistance

1.1982 1.2059

1.1949 1.2103

1.1904 1.2136

Pivot Point: 1.2026

EUR/USD - Technical Outlook 

The EUR/USD continues to trade bullish at 1.2109 level, having disrupted the double top pattern at 1.2077 level. On Friday, the EUR/USD pair managed to violate the narrow trading range of the pair of 1.2077 – 1.1998 level. A bullish breakout of 1.2077 has opened up additional room for buying until the next resistance level of 1.2141 and 1.2240. However, the RSI and MACD are in overbought territories, suggesting odds of bearish correction in the pair. On the lower side, the EUR/USD can find support at the 1.2077 level. The upward channel is supporting bullish bias in the EUR/USD pair. Traders will be keeping their eyes on the 1.2026 level today. All the best!

Deep Dive in Bitcoin

During the Asian session, the BTC/USD made a solid comeback to trade at 5,2346 level. The BTC/USD dropped for the 9th session in the last ten days, and Bitcoin extended its bearish streak for the 5th consecutive session on Sunday. During Friday’s trading session, Bitcoin prices dropped to their lowest since March 6, near $47,000.

The world’s largest cryptocurrency by market cap, Bitcoin, was already under pressure from last week. On Friday, it faced fresh pressure after Ripple’s co-founder Chris Larsen, gave his opinion over Bitcoin. Larsen unequivocally stated that Bitcoin and other crypto assets needed to abandon the proof-of-work consensus mechanism due to its effects on the environment.

The executive claimed that there were tons of mechanisms better and more energy-efficient than PoW like Proof-of-Stake. He added that PoS has been more efficient and consumes only a tiny fraction of energy. Bitcoin prices faced further pressure after these comments from Larsen and extended their losses to reach below the $50,000 level. Furthermore, the recent decline on Friday in the cryptocurrency market could also be attributed to the latest data from Bybt. The date suggested over $4 billion worth of positions liquidated in the cryptocurrency market on April 23 in 24 hours. As per data, billions worth of long-position were liquidated in the past few days and left many short positions open in the market.

The release of U.S. President Biden’s plans to raise taxes on wealthy individuals also added further pressure on Bitcoin prices. The fears of higher capital gains taxes for wealthy Americans caused further losses in Bitcoin prices as it would hike the tax rate to about 43.4%.

On the flip side, the government of the U.S. state of Louisiana released a resolution in which it noted some of Bitcoin’s accomplishments. The Louisiana House of Representatives released a resolution to commend Bitcoin for its success in becoming the first decentralized trillion-dollar asset and encouraging the state and local governments to examine measures that could help them benefit from the extended usage of this new technology.

BTC/USD Intraday Technical Levels

Support Resistance

49446.4 51013.4

48725.7 51859.7

47879.4 52580.4

Pivot Point: 50,292.7

BTC/USD - Technical Outlook 

On Monday, the BTC/USD trades sharply bullish at 52,475 level, covering most of its losses. The oversold cryptocurrency has completed 23.6% Fibonacci retracement at 51,234 level. The BTC/USD pair has violated 51,234 resistance on the four-hourly timeframe, and now it’s heading further north to complete 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at 53,934 level. The leading technical indicator RSI (relative strength index) exhibits a bullish crossover as its value is crossing over 50, suggesting a strong bullish reversal in Bitcoin. Whereas the MACD is still holding the sell zone, however, the immediate histograms are becoming smaller and smaller, suggesting sellers are getting exhausted, and bulls are taking control. On the higher side, bitcoin may find resistance at 53,934 and 55,890 levels today. All the best!

Bullish Channel Underpins Gold

On Thursday, the precious metal gold closed at 1784.25 after placing a high of 1798.00 and a low of 1777.25. Gold posted losses on Thursday after reaching near the $1800 level but faced resistance at $1798. However, in the first half of the day, yellow metal remained near its 8-week highest level amid the weaker U.S. Treasury yields and declining U.S. dollar. But in the second half of the day during American trading hours, the yellow metal started to face bearish pressure amid better than expected U.S. macroeconomic data release and reversed its course.

After primarily upbeat U.S. economic data, gold prices slumped that reduced the safe-haven appeal, and weighed on the precious metal that dragged it from reaching the $1800 level on Thursday. On the data front, at 17:30 GMT, the Unemployment Claims from the last week declined to 547K against the expected 607K and supported the U.S. dollar, and weighed on the yellow metal. At 19:00 GMT, the C.B. Leading Index raised to1.3% against the expected 1.0% and supported the U.S. dollar, and added further losses in gold prices. The Existing Home Sales declined in March to 6.01M against the forecasted6.18M and weighed on the U.S. dollar and capped further decline in precious metal prices.

As per the Director of the National Institutes of Health, Dr. Francis Collins, tens of millions of Americans haven't started their vaccination yet. He added that many of these people were still unsure whether they wanted to participate in the vaccination process. Collins insisted that getting the message out there could be a significant challenge as people were still undecided over getting the vaccine because they did not see the need to do so. The comments from Collins were followed by a report published last week indicating that the country is probable to reach a tipping point in the coming 2-4 weeks when vaccine supply would outstrip demand.

On the other hand, the U.S. Dollar Index that measures the value of the greenback against the basket of six major currencies, rose on Thursday and reached a 91.42 level that pushed the U.S. dollar higher and weighed on yellow metal prices. Simultaneously, the U.S. bond yield on a 10-year note declined on Thursday and continued its fall for the third consecutive session to reach a 1.5327 level. The declining U.S. treasury yields helped yellow metal to keep its losses limited on Thursday.

Meanwhile, on Wednesday, a bipartisan U.S. congressional attempt to counteract China got the market's attention when a Senate committee backed a bill pressing Beijing on human rights and economic competition. This could raise the tensions between the U.S. & China, and these fears gave a little support to the fading risk-off market and capped the losses in gold prices.

According to a poll, this year, the United States' economy will grow at its fastest annual pace in decades and will outperform most of its peers. However, the biggest risk to the economy over the next three months was underlined as another surge of the coronavirus pandemic. This poll helped find the outlook of the U.S. economy and supported the U.S. dollar that ultimately weighed on the yellow metal prices.

Gold Intraday Technical Level

Support Resistance

1781.96 1798.36

1771.63 1804.43

1765.56 1814.76

Pivot Point: 1788.03

Gold - XAU/USD - Technical Outlook

On Friday, gold is trading with a strong bearish bias at $1,787. Previously, the precious metal has violated the sideways trading $1,798 - $1,787 levels, and now it's gaining support at the $1,777 level. On the 4-hour timeframe, the precious metal is forming an upward channel that supports the buying trend in gold. The XAU/USD pair's resistance stands at $1,789 and $1,798 level on the higher side. The series of 20 & 50 periods EMA is supporting a bullish trend in gold. Simultaneously, the RSI and MACD are holding at 55 and 5.42, respectively, demonstrating that the bullish trend dominates in the market. Later today, the investor's focus will remain on the Flash Manufacturing PMI figures, which are expected to surge from 59.1 to 60.9. Positive data typically drives selling trends in gold prices and vice versa. All the best and have a fantastic weekend!

Double Bottom Support

The EUR/USD pair was closed at 1.2015 after placing a high of 1.2070 and a low of 1.1993. EUR/USD pair remained depressive on Thursday and continued its bearish streak for 3rd consecutive session after U.S. Dollar Index turned positive and ECB maintained a dovish stance.

On Thursday, Euro slipped against the U.S. dollar after the dovish comments from the European Central Bank. The bank indicated that it was in no hurry to reduce its emergency bond purchases despite prevailing optimism over a robust economic recovery.

The ECB (European Central Bank) left its benchmark interest rate at 0.0% as widely expected in its monetary policy meeting and said it would stick with plans to accelerate emergency bond purchases until March 2022 to keep bond yields steady. In its monetary policy statement, ECB noted that the Governing Council expected to continue the purchases under PEPP at a significantly higher pace over the current quarter of this year. The President of the central bank, Christine Lagarde, also downplayed the notions that the central bank would look at tapering bond purchases as it was simply premature. He also added that any changes to the program would be data-dependant. After these dovish comments, the EUR/USD pair continued declining and posted losses for the day.

On the data front, at 18:30 GMT, the Consumer Confidence from Europe dropped to -8 against the projected -11 and supported single currency Euro that capped further losses in EUR/USD pair. From the U.S. side, at 17:30 GMT, the Unemployment Claims from the last week dropped to 547K against the estimated 607K and supported the U.S. dollar, and weighed on EUR/USD pair. At 19:00 GMT, the C.B. Leading Index surged to1.3% against the projected 1.0%, supported the U.S. dollar, and added further losses in EUR/USD. The Existing Home Sales dropped in March to 6.01M against the anticipated 6.18M and weighed on the U.S. dollar that capped further losses in EUR/USD.

On the U.S. front, the greenback remained strong on board despite declining U.S. Treasury yields. The U.S. Dollar Index rose on Thursday and reached a 91.42 level, while the U.S. Treasury yields on a 10-year note dropped to 1.5310.

EURUSD Intraday Technical Levels

Support Resistance

1.2005 1.2052

1.1979 1.2071

1.1959 1.2098

Pivot Point: 1.2025

EUR/USD - Technical Outlook 

The EUR/USD’s trading bias is bullish as the pair is trading at a 1.2020 level. Overall, the trading range of the pair is being limited to 1.2077 – 1.1998 level. A bullish breakout of 1.2077 level opens up further room for buying until the next resistance level of 1.2141 and 1.2240. Conversely, the bearish breakout of an upward channel at the 1.1998 level exposes the EUR/USD pair towards 1.1940 and 1.1877 support levels. So far, the exponential moving averages are in support of a buying trend. However, the histograms of MACD are becoming smaller than the previous ones, suggesting weakness in bullish bias. Today, the trader’s primary focus will remain on the Flash Manufacturing PMI and Flash Services PMI figures from the European countries such as France and Germany, the business hubs. Economists are expecting a slight dip in economic data that can drive a bearish breakout in the pair and vice versa. All the best!

Deep Dive in Bitcoin

The BTC/USD was closed at 51781.3 after placing a high of 55067.0 and a low of 51781.3. BTC/USD remained bearish throughout the day and dropped below 52,000 as Bitcoin’s dominance over the crypto market came below the 50% mark for the first time since 2018 after Ethereum recorded a new all-time high (ATH).

The loss came when Ether, the native currency of the second largest crypto network Ethereum, reached a new ATH of $2600. The present market value of Bitcoin is $1.02 trillion against the total crypto market value of $2.13, with Ethereum accounting for 14.61% of market shares.

JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Tallbacken Capital Advisors LLC had recently warned that there was potential for a further downside after the largest cryptocurrency fell back from its record high of $64,000 on April 14.

The U.S. President Joe Biden was set to propose a tax hike o the wealthiest Americans. The proposal would raise the top marginal rate and increase taxes on investment gains for the rich. The news triggered a sell-off on Wall Street and the crypto market, where significant indexes and digital assets slipped during Thursday’s trading session. The decline in Bitcoin for the seventh time in eight days and extended losses on Thursday after President Joe Biden was set to propose almost doubling the capital gains tax for the wealthy.

The plan will not affect any family earning less than $400,000 a year, but it would also nearly double taxes on capital gains to 39.6% for people making more than $1M. In some states which impose their capital gains tax, the total bill some investors could face might exceed 50%. This news added further pressure on Bitcoin prices, and the prices extended their losses for the day.

BTC/USD Intraday Technical Levels

Support Resistance

52937.4 55591.4

52052.7 57360.7

50283.4 58245.4

Pivot Point: 54706.7

BTC/USD - Technical Outlook 

The BTC/USD is trading sharply bearish at 48,530 level, having dropped from the support level of 55,229 level. On the daily timeframe, the BTC/USD pair has crossed below the 20 & 50 periods EMA (Exponential Moving Average) that converts bullish trend into bearish. Bitcoin’s next support level holds around 46,700, and violation of this level exposes the pair towards 43,737 support. Conversely, the resistance holds around 50,369 and 53,354 levels and the bearish bias dominates Bitcoin below 53,350 level today. All the best!

Ascending Triangle Breakout

Gold prices closed at $1792.30 after placing a high of $1794.10 and a low of $1777.70. Gold extended its gains and reached near $1800 level on Wednesday amid the falling U.S. Treasury yields and sagging global stocks due to revived fears of global economic recovery after a rising number of coronavirus cases from around the world.

The U.S. dollar index fell to 91.09 level on Wednesday from its daily high of 91.43 and caused weakness in the greenback that pushed gold prices even higher. In the meantime, the U.S. Treasury bond yield on a 10-year note also fell below 1.6% to 1.5540 level that added in the weakness of the U.S. dollar and helped precious metal to remain on a bullish track.

According to new data published by the World Health Organization, more new coronavirus cases were reported around the world last week than in any seven days since the beginning of the pandemic. According to the report, about 5.24 million new cases were recorded during last week. This figure broke the previous record set at the start of 2021 with 5.04 million new possibilities in the week ended on January 4. The latest surge was primarily driven by an outbreak in India where the authorities reported that about 300,000 new cases were reported in a single day. The WHO said that India accounts for almost one-third of all new cases worldwide. World Health Organization said that the death rate lead by coronavirus was also accelerating, with more than 83,000 deaths last week than the 76,000 during the week before.

According to a spokeswoman for the WHO, Margaret Harris noted that the pandemic caused 1 million deaths in 9-months, then 2 million deaths in 4-months, and now it took only 3-months to reach 3-million deaths caused by the pandemic. These developments added strength in the precious metal prices as the concerns regarding global economic recovery revived in the market and raised the appeal for safe-haven assets. The changed market sentiment helped to extend gains in the yellow metal.

There was no macroeconomic data from the U.S. side on Wednesday. Market participants are awaiting the release of a policy report from the European Central Bank that’s due on Thursday. Investors are awaiting the news for further clarity about the stimulus plans for the bloc. Whereas the U.S. Federal Reserve policy meeting is scheduled next week. Furthermore, the risk-off market mood was continuously supported by the rising tensions between the U.S. and China and U.S. and Russia. These geopolitical tensions kept the safe-haven appeal intact and gold metal higher.

Gold Intraday Technical Level

Support Resistance

1769.76 1780.56

1762.23 1783.83

1758.96 1791.36

Pivot point; 1773.03

Gold - XAU/USD - Technical Outlook

Gold is trading choppy between a narrow trading range of 1,798 - 1,787 level, having violated the ascending triangle pattern at 1,789. The precious metal was trading in an ascending triangle pattern that we spotted yesterday, and the pattern has now already been violated. On the higher side, it exposes gold prices towards an immediate resistance level of 1,798. Bullish crossover of 1,798 level opens up additional room for bulls until 1,813 resistance level. The immediate support stays at the 1,789 level, and break out of this level can extend the selling trend until the 1,776 level. The 20 & 50 periods EMA are in support of buying, but the further trends in gold will be highly influenced by the violation of the 1,798 – 1,789 trading range. All the best!

Upward Channel Intact

The EUR/USD closed at 1.2033 after placing a high of 1.2045 and a low of 1.1998. The EUR/USD pair extended its losses on Wednesday and reached below the 1.200 level despite the U.S. dollar weakness. Higher equity prices and lower U.S. Treasury yields kept the greenback under pressure on Wednesday while keeping the U.S. Dollar Index near 91.0 level. The U.S. Treasury yield on benchmark 10-year note remained below 1.6% at 1.573% and kept on weighing over the U.S. dollar.

Despite the weakness in the U.S. dollar, the EUR/USD pair continued its bearish momentum on the back of risk-off market sentiment driven by the rising concerns over the global economic recovery amid increased coronavirus infections. On Tuesday, World Health Organization released a report suggesting an increased number of coronavirus infections worldwide during last week. The agency said that the number of cases increased more than ever in seven-day period since the pandemic started last week.

The WHO also reported that the number of deaths from pandemic was also rising at an alarming rate. The report suggested that about 5.24m cases were recorded last week, which is the highest record for seven-day compared to the previous 5.04m for the week ended on January 4.

The rising number of infections worldwide raised fears for economic recovery that ultimately supported the risk-off market environment and dragged the riskier assets like EUR/USD lower. The risk appetite across the global market was dampened on Wednesday due to the rising coronavirus cases and a fall in oil prices. They cast doubts on the strength of the global economic recovery. Furthermore, Eurozone bond yields held below the recent highs on Wednesday, a day ahead of the ECB meeting and after Germany’s constitutional court dismissed challenges to its approval of the E.U. recovery fund.

As the European Central Bank is set to announce its policy decision on Thursday, the investors became cautious about placing any strong position ahead. This type of cautious behavior of investors also kept the pair EUR/USD under consolidation on Wednesday. The ECB is primarily expected to keep policy on hold, while investors were looking for clarity on how it will react to economic recovery in Europe. Essentially in its emergency bond-buying program. On Wednesday, Germany’s constitutional court declined to block the E.U.’s COVID-19 recovery fund.

EURUSD Intraday Technical Levels

Support Resistance

1.2009 1.2068

1.1987 1.2103

1.1951 1.2126

Pivot point; 1.2045

EUR/USD - Technical Outlook

On Thursday, the technical side of the EUR/USD hasn’t changed a lot as it continues to exhibit choppy sessions at the 1.2020 level. The pair is facing immediate resistance at 1.2043 and 1.2112 levels. On the 4-hour timeframe, the EUR/USD pair has formed an upward trendline that is supporting a bullish trend in the pair. However, the formation of Doji and Spinning top candles below the 1.2043 level hurt the market’s bullish sentiment. On the downside, the EUR/USD’s support stays at the 1.1983 level, and break out of this level extends price action towards the 1.1928 level. Considering the RSI and MACD, the overall trading bias remains bullish as their values are holding at 59 and 0.0021, respectively. Trader’s primary focus will remain on the ECB monitory policy decision as this even has the potential to drive sharp volatility in the market. All the best!

Sideways Channel in Play

The BTC/USD closed at 53,822 after placing a high of 56,476 and a low of 53,822. Bitcoin fell again on Wednesday and reach below 54,000 level amid the recent warning by JPMorgan. The strategists at JPMorgan Chase & Co., Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, warned on Wednesday that if the popular cryptocurrency does not return to the $60,000 level soon, it could soon be at risk of extending its losses to maximum level.

Over the past few days, Bitcoin has experienced a steep liquidation similar to the middle of last February, middle of last January, or the end of last November. Quick recoveries and further price increases have met the previous three dips, but this time looks different. It is yet to see whether Bitcoin will repeat its prior episodes or not; however, the strategists believed that repeating those patterns was less likely this time around due to weaker flow.

Some other companies also joined in, including Tallbacken Capital Advisors CEO Michael Purves, who also said that Bitcoin’s bullish rally could be at crossroads. Furthermore, Scott Minerd, the global chief investment officer of Guggenheim Partner, claimed that Bitcoin had overstretched itself at a dangerous speed. It means the king of cryptocurrencies could dramatically decline in value over the coming weeks.

Minerd, a member of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s Investor Advisory Committee on Financial Markets and Chairman of Guggenheim Investments, has said that Bitcoin would have a significant correction in the coming days. He even said that prices could pull back to 20,000 to 30,000, which would be a 50% decline. He added that the exciting thing about Bitcoin was that it had seen these kinds of drops before.

BTC/USD Intraday Technical Levels

Support Resistance

54932.6 57484.6

53389.3 58493.3

52380.6 60036.6

Pivot point; 55491.3

BTC/USD - Technical Outlook

Technically, the BTC/USD hasn’t changed as it continues to trade with a bearish bias at 55,642 level. The pair is consolidating in a broad trading range of 57,657 level to 53,367 level, and lack of trading volume keeps the pair’s movement limited. On the 4 hour timeframe, the 20 & 50 periods EMA are extending resistance at 55,750 and 60,019 levels. The RSI and MACD values suggest bearish bias among investors; therefore, the pair is looking for a bearish breakout. On the downside, the breakout of the 53,350 support level opens up further room for selling until the next support area of 50,015, whereas resistance stays at 57,657. All the best!