The Nikkei 225 closed Wednesday at 68,751, up 2,451 points or 3.7% from Monday's 66,300 open. The index has printed a week-to-date range of 65,548 to 68,775, with Tuesday's dip to 65,548 marking the only significant pullback in an otherwise strong three-day rally.
Monday's 1,310-point surge set the tone, carrying the index from 66,300 to 67,153 on volume of 56,374 contracts. Tuesday saw volatile two-way action with the index touching 65,548 before recovering to close at 67,732. Wednesday's session delivered the week's high at 68,775, though reduced volume of 19,148 suggests some caution as the index approaches the psychological 69,000 level.
The calendar shows no major Japanese economic releases for Thursday and Friday, leaving the index to trade on broader risk sentiment and any overnight moves in US markets. If buyers maintain control above Wednesday's 67,403 low, the 69,000 round number becomes the obvious test. A break below 67,400 would put Tuesday's 65,548 low back in focus.
As of Wednesday morning, 52.1% of LHFX clients hold long positions while 47.9% are short. This modest long skew reflects the week's upward momentum, though the near-even split suggests traders remain cautious after the index's 3.7% surge in just three sessions.
The index sits just 250 points below this week's 68,775 high, with the 69,000 round number acting as the immediate resistance. If sellers emerge, Wednesday's 67,403 low marks the first support, followed by the more significant 65,548 Tuesday low. The Nasdaq 100's overnight performance could influence Thursday's open given recent correlation between the two indices.
Byline: LHFX Research
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