GBP/JPY closed Wednesday's European session at 215.097, up 74 pips from Monday's open at 214.351. The cross has pushed as high as 215.520 and found support at 214.154 so far this week.
The yen's broad weakness accelerated Tuesday when USD/JPY hit 160, prompting Japan's finance minister to issue verbal warnings about excessive currency moves. Despite the intervention rhetoric, GBP/JPY continued grinding higher, with sterling benefiting from the yen selloff.
No major UK or Japanese data releases are scheduled for Thursday or Friday. If USD/JPY stays above 160 and Japan remains on the sidelines, GBP/JPY could test 216.00. If actual intervention materializes, the cross could quickly reverse toward 214.00.
Traders are positioned 54.5% long and 45.5% short as of Wednesday morning. The slight bullish tilt suggests the market expects Japan's warnings to remain just words, keeping the path of least resistance higher for now.
The 215.50 area has capped gains twice this week. If price breaks and holds above it, 216.00 becomes the obvious target. If it fails here again, Tuesday's low at 214.782 offers the first support. Trade GBP/JPY with tight spreads at LHFX.
Byline: LHFX Research
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