USD/MXN closed Wednesday's session at 17.4310, down 33 pips from Monday's open at 17.4642. The pair has ranged between 17.3713 and 17.4950 through the first three days, with price now testing the lower bound of this week's trading zone.
The peso has gained ground against the dollar as broader dollar weakness takes hold. Risk sentiment has shifted through the week, with Tuesday's tech sector reversal highlighted in market headlines contributing to the dollar's softer tone across emerging market pairs.
With no high-impact Mexican or US data scheduled for Thursday and Friday, USD/MXN will likely track broader dollar sentiment and risk appetite. If global equities extend Tuesday's tech sector weakness, the peso could come under renewed pressure and push the pair back toward 17.48. Conversely, stable risk sentiment could see further peso gains toward the 17.37 support.
Current positioning shows 62% of traders are long USD/MXN while 38% hold short positions. This dollar-long skew suggests many traders are betting on peso weakness, leaving room for further downside if these positions unwind into the week's close.
The 17.43 handle is the pivot point right now, sitting just above Tuesday's low at 17.3713. If price holds this level through Thursday's session, the recent high at 17.4950 comes back into view. A break below 17.43 opens the door to test 17.37, which would mark the lowest print in two weeks. Trade USD/MXN with LHFX's tight spreads and fast execution.
Byline: LHFX Research
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