USD/JPY closed Wednesday's session at 160.362, up 28 pips from Monday's open at 160.334. The pair has traded between 159.843 and 160.441 so far this week.
Dollar demand in Asia has kept the pair supported above 160.00. South Korea cleared significant dollar demand Tuesday, while the PBOC set its USD/CNY reference rate well above estimates, signaling tolerance for yuan weakness.
The calendar remains empty for both currencies through Friday. Without scheduled economic releases, price action will depend on whether Asian central banks continue to manage their currencies against dollar strength. If dollar demand persists, 160.50 becomes the next test. If profit-taking emerges, 160.00 offers the obvious support.
Current positioning shows 47.9% of traders long and 52.1% short as of today. This balanced skew suggests the market lacks conviction about the next directional move, typical when the calendar offers no catalysts.
The pair is consolidating just below this week's high at 160.441. If buyers push through this resistance, 160.50 comes into view quickly. If sellers defend 160.44, the week's low at 159.843 becomes the downside target.
Byline: LHFX Research
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ONYO LA HATARI
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