USDTRY weekly: lira holds steady near 45.89, 2026-05-25

Where USDTRY closed the week

USDTRY opened the week at 45.7160 and closed at 45.8940, marking a gain of 178 pips or 0.39%. The pair reached a weekly high of 45.9077 on Tuesday before settling near the 45.89 level. Trading volume peaked at 57,656 contracts on Monday, then tapered through the week.

What moved price

USDTRY traded in its tightest weekly range in recent sessions, with just 384 pips separating the weekly high from the low. The pair spent most of the week oscillating around the 45.89 handle, unable to break decisively in either direction.

While specific Turkish economic data was absent from the calendar, the PBOC's yuan fixing on Friday caught market attention. The Chinese central bank's reference rate came in weaker than expected, which often influences sentiment across emerging market currencies including the lira.

The week ahead

No major Turkish economic releases appear on next week's calendar. Without domestic catalysts, USDTRY will likely track broader dollar movements and react to any policy communications from the Central Bank of Turkey. Watch for spillover effects from EUR/USD price action, as European economic developments frequently impact lira trading.

Levels to watch

The weekly high at 45.9077 stands as immediate resistance. If price closes above this level, the psychological 46.00 mark comes into focus. On the downside, the weekly low at 45.5230 offers first support. A break below would target the weekly open at 45.7160, which now serves as a pivot point for directional bias.

Byline: LHFX Research

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