Daily Price Outlook

- EUR/USD trades at 1.0969, facing resistance at 1.0879 and 1.1021, with a pivot point at 1.0754 signaling key market movements.

- RSI at 65 suggests bullish potential, but a bearish engulfing pattern near 1.09770 points to possible downward pressure.

- Overall trend appears bearish below 1.09770; short-term forecasts indicate a test of resistance levels with close monitoring of technical indicators.

As of December 20, the EUR/USD pair is navigating a delicate balance in the forex market. Currently priced at 1.0969, it shows a modest decline of 0.1%. The pair finds itself fluctuating around significant technical levels, with a pivot point established at 1.0754. Resistance levels are observed at 1.0879, 1.1021, and 1.1146, while support is anchored at 1.0611, 1.0487, and 1.0362.

The technical indicators paint a mixed picture. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 65 leans towards a bullish sentiment but stops short of the overbought threshold, indicating potential room for growth. However, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) shows a near-zero value of 0.00006 against a signal of 0.00263, suggesting a lack of strong momentum in either direction.

The 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.0957 slightly underpins the current price, reinforcing a short-term bullish trend. Nevertheless, a bearish engulfing candle pattern near 1.09770 signals potential bearish bias, indicating that the pair is likely to stay bearish below 1.1005.

EUR/USD - Trade Idea 

Entry Price – Sell Below 1.0981

Take Profit – 1.0905

Stop Loss – 1.1050

Risk to Reward – 1: 1.1

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$761/ -$688

Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$76/ -$68

Daily Price Outlook

Despite the weaker Eurozone data, the EUR/USD currency pair maintained its upward momentum and surged to gains near 1.0920 level. However, the reason for its upward rally can be attributed to the US dollar bearish bias. Notably, the Federal Reserve (Fed) signaled an end to its monetary policy tightening cycle last Wednesday, with the "dot plot" indicating at least three 25 basis points (bps) rate cuts in 2024. This dovish stance has undermined the US Dollar (USD) and contributed to the gains in the EUR/USD pair.

Challenges in Eurozone Business Activity Raise Recession Concerns

It's worth noting that Eurozone business activity unexpectedly declined in December, signaling that the economy is likely in a recession. The preliminary Eurozone HCOB Composite PMI fell to 47.0, below the market's expected 48.0 and November's 47.6. This marks the seventh consecutive month below the growth threshold of 50.

Furthermore, the Eurozone Manufacturing PMI dropped to 44.2, falling below expectations, and the Services PMI fell to 48.1, missing the estimated 49.0. This data suggests a probable contraction in the Eurozone economy in Q4, contrary to the European Central Bank's projections. Consequently, the Euro (EUR) faces selling pressure but it was short-lived.

Mixed Signals in US Economic Indicators and Fed's Dovish Stance

It should be noted that the S&P Global Composite PMI hit a promising five-month high at 51.0 in December, up from 50.7. However, the Manufacturing PMI dropped to its lowest in four months, slipping from 49.4 to 48.2. On a positive note, the Services PMI rose to 51.3 in December from 50.8 in November.

Moreover, the Federal Reserve (Fed) suggested they're done tightening monetary policy, planning three rate cuts in 2024. Yet, some key Fed officials disagreed, hinting that early rate cuts might not happen. This disagreement led to a short-covering rally for the US Dollar (USD) on Friday, recovering from its lowest point since July 31. Despite the rebound, the USD didn't gain much ground due to the Fed's overall dovish stance and positive market sentiment. This tends to weaken the dollar's safe-haven appeal, contributing to gains in the EUR/USD pair.

EUR/USD - Technical Analysis

The EUR/USD pair has shown a modest yet positive performance recently, registering a 0.15% increase to 1.09115. This movement reflects the ongoing adjustments in the forex market, where subtle shifts often speak volumes about underlying economic sentiments.

Currently, the pivot point for EUR/USD is situated at $1.0756, which acts as a critical indicator for future movements. The immediate resistance lies at $1.0881, with further barriers at $1.1024 and $1.1145. These levels will be crucial for traders to watch, as a breach of these could signify stronger bullish momentum. On the downside, immediate support is found at $1.0618, followed by $1.0484 and $1.0359, marking key levels where the bearish trend could find a halt.

The technical indicators present a mixed picture. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 56, indicating a slight bullish sentiment. An RSI above 50 often signifies positive momentum, yet it's not far enough from the midline to suggest a strong trend. Conversely, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) values, with a MACD of -0.00064 and a signal line at 0.00296, imply a potential downward movement. This divergence calls for a careful analysis of forthcoming market changes.

The 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $1.0918 currently supports the EUR/USD uptrend. The recent Doji candlestick pattern close over the 50 EMA indicates a weakening downtrend and a possible shift towards buying.

In summary, the overall trend for EUR/USD appears bullish, especially if it sustains above $1.08960. The short-term forecast suggests that the pair may test higher resistance levels in the upcoming days. However, the mixed signals from RSI and MACD necessitate vigilant market observation, as these could indicate shifting trends or potential reversal points.

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Daily Price Outlook

- EUR/USD Sees Slight Uptick: Pivot point at $1.0756 marks key for trend analysis.

- Mixed Technical Indicators: RSI shows mild bullishness; MACD hints at potential downtrend.

- 50 EMA as Key Support: EUR/USD shows potential for an uptrend, indicated by recent Doji candlestick over 50 EMA.

The EUR/USD pair has shown a modest yet positive performance recently, registering a 0.15% increase to 1.09115. This movement reflects the ongoing adjustments in the forex market, where subtle shifts often speak volumes about underlying economic sentiments.

Currently, the pivot point for EUR/USD is situated at $1.0756, which acts as a critical indicator for future movements. The immediate resistance lies at $1.0881, with further barriers at $1.1024 and $1.1145. These levels will be crucial for traders to watch, as a breach of these could signify stronger bullish momentum. On the downside, immediate support is found at $1.0618, followed by $1.0484 and $1.0359, marking key levels where the bearish trend could find a halt.

The technical indicators present a mixed picture. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 56, indicating a slight bullish sentiment. An RSI above 50 often signifies positive momentum, yet it's not far enough from the midline to suggest a strong trend. Conversely, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) values, with a MACD of -0.00064 and a signal line at 0.00296, imply a potential downward movement. This divergence calls for a careful analysis of forthcoming market changes.

The 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $1.0918 currently supports the EUR/USD uptrend. The recent Doji candlestick pattern close over the 50 EMA indicates a weakening downtrend and a possible shift towards buying.

In summary, the overall trend for EUR/USD appears bullish, especially if it sustains above $1.08960. The short-term forecast suggests that the pair may test higher resistance levels in the upcoming days. However, the mixed signals from RSI and MACD necessitate vigilant market observation, as these could indicate shifting trends or potential reversal points.

EUR/USD - Trade Idea 

Entry Price – Buy Above 1.08916

Take Profit – 1.09663

Stop Loss – 1.08400

Risk to Reward – 1: 1.4

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$747/ -$516

Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$74/ -$51

Daily Price Outlook

- EUR/USD pair shows a slight increase, facing resistance at $1.0962.

- RSI suggests overbought conditions, hinting at a possible trend reversal.

- Short-term outlook is bullish, with a focus on potential breakout above $1.1000.

In the ever-evolving forex market, the EUR/USD pair on December 15 presents a scenario of cautious optimism. Trading at 1.09980, the pair sees a modest increase of 0.07%, reflecting a tempered bullish sentiment. The pair’s technical posture is anchored around a pivot point of $1.0866, with its trajectory shaped by a series of key price levels.

Immediate resistance is encountered at $1.0962, followed by higher ceilings at $1.1035 and $1.1104. On the downside, supports are formed at $1.0797, $1.0693, and $1.0624, crucial for maintaining the pair's stability. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 77 signals an overbought condition, suggesting the pair might be approaching a potential reversal point. The MACD, with a value of 0.00198 below its signal line of 0.01, indicates a weakening of the current bullish trend.

The pair's positioning above the 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of $1.0943 further underlines its short-term bullish trend. However, a double-top pattern near the $1.1008 mark poses a significant resistance, potentially limiting further gains. A successful breach of this level could indicate a stronger bullish momentum, while failure to do so may result in a pullback.

Overall, the EUR/USD pair exhibits a bullish trend, contingent upon a breakout above the $1.1000 mark. The short-term forecast anticipates a testing of these resistance levels, with market participants closely watching for a possible upward trajectory or a shift in trend.

EUR/USD - Trade Idea 

Entry Price – Buy Stop 1.10145

Take Profit – 1.10920

Stop Loss – 1.09676

Risk to Reward – 1: 1.65

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$775/ -$469

Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$77/ -$46

Daily Price Outlook

During the early European session on Friday, the EUR/USD currency pair maintained its upward trend, gaining additional momentum near the 1.1000 mark. However, the reason for this upward rally can be attributed to the fact that the European Central Bank (ECB) kept interest rates unchanged on Thursday. In response to the ECB's decision, the Euro (EUR) attracted buyers, lifting the EUR/USD currency pair.

Meanwhile, the Greenback experienced downward pressure following dovish remarks from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, along with projections from Fed officials indicating three anticipated rate cuts in the coming year. This was seen as another crucial factor contributing to the upward momentum of the EUR/USD pair.

ECB Maintains Steady Interest Rates, Providing Stability to EUR/USD Pair Amid Economic Uncertainties

It's worth noting that the European Central Bank (ECB) chose to keep interest rates steady, as many predicted. This includes the main refinancing operations at 4.50%, the marginal lending facility at 4.75%, and the deposit facility at 4.00%, in line with expectations.

Despite expectations for rate cuts due to lower inflation and price pressure, the central bank is standing firm on maintaining record-high borrowing costs. This move by the central bank is aimed at maintaining stability in the face of economic uncertainties.

Therefore, the ECB's decision to keep key interest rates unchanged, contrary to expectations of cuts, has stabilized the EUR/USD pair. The Euro gained support, reflecting the central bank's commitment to maintaining record-high borrowing costs despite economic uncertainties.

US Federal Reserve's Dovish Stance and Economic Data Impact: EUR/USD Pair Gains Momentum

Moreover, the US Federal Reserve chose to keep its benchmark fed funds rate range unchanged at 5.25%–5.50% on Wednesday. Despite this, the Greenback faced downward pressure after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell made dovish remarks, and Fed officials projected three rate cuts in the coming year.

On Thursday, US Retail Sales exceeded market expectations, growing 0.3% in November, rebounding from a 0.2% decline in the previous reading. Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending December 9 were 202,000, beating the market consensus of 220,000.

However, the positive US data failed to boost the Greenback. Investors, still processing the Fed's monetary policy meeting outcome and the anticipation of future rate cuts, kept the currency under pressure across the board.

Therefore, the EUR/USD pair experienced upward momentum as the US Federal Reserve's dovish tone and projections of future rate cuts weakened the Greenback, despite positive US economic data failing to provide support.

EUR/USD - Technical Analysis

In the ever-evolving forex market, the EUR/USD pair on December 15 presents a scenario of cautious optimism. Trading at 1.09980, the pair sees a modest increase of 0.07%, reflecting a tempered bullish sentiment. The pair’s technical posture is anchored around a pivot point of $1.0866, with its trajectory shaped by a series of key price levels.

Immediate resistance is encountered at $1.0962, followed by higher ceilings at $1.1035 and $1.1104. On the downside, supports are formed at $1.0797, $1.0693, and $1.0624, crucial for maintaining the pair's stability. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 77 signals an overbought condition, suggesting the pair might be approaching a potential reversal point. The MACD, with a value of 0.00198 below its signal line of 0.01, indicates a weakening of the current bullish trend.

The pair's positioning above the 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of $1.0943 further underlines its short-term bullish trend. However, a double-top pattern near the $1.1008 mark poses a significant resistance, potentially limiting further gains. A successful breach of this level could indicate a stronger bullish momentum, while failure to do so may result in a pullback.

Overall, the EUR/USD pair exhibits a bullish trend, contingent upon a breakout above the $1.1000 mark. The short-term forecast anticipates a testing of these resistance levels, with market participants closely watching for a possible upward trajectory or a shift in trend.

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Daily Price Outlook

- EUR/USD sees a slight decline to 1.07863 amid key technical resistance levels.

- Neutral RSI at 50 and MACD above the signal line indicate a balanced market.

- Market focus on FOMC meeting outcome for potential shifts in EUR/USD dynamics.

On December 13th, the EUR/USD pair is exhibiting a subtle downward movement, currently trading at 1.07863, marking a 0.08% decline. This movement reflects the pair's response to broader market dynamics and impending economic decisions.

In the current trading session, the EUR/USD pair is navigating a critical juncture defined by significant technical levels. The pivot point is identified at $1.0690, offering a baseline for potential shifts in the currency's trajectory. On the upper side, the pair faces immediate resistance at $1.0792, followed by higher barriers at $1.0861 and $1.0967. Conversely, should the pair succumb to bearish pressures, it will encounter support at $1.0623, with subsequent levels at $1.0521 and $1.0417.

The technical indicators provide a deeper insight into the pair's current state. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is positioned at 50, indicating a neutral market sentiment neither leaning towards overbought nor oversold conditions. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) shows a value of 0.00063, slightly above its signal line at -0.00045, suggesting a potential, albeit uncertain, upward momentum.

Notably, the 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $1.0783 is acting as a significant resistance level. The presence of Doji and spinning top candles just under this EMA level hints at a selling bias among traders, especially as the market anticipates the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting's outcome.

In conclusion, while the EUR/USD pair demonstrates a bearish tendency below the $1.0783 mark, the overall trend is somewhat indecisive. Traders and investors are likely to maintain a cautious stance, waiting for clearer signals from the upcoming FOMC decision, which could significantly influence the pair's short-term direction.

EUR/USD - Trade Idea 

Entry Price – Sell Below 1.07877

Take Profit – 1.07305

Stop Loss – 1.08234

Risk to Reward – 1: 1.6

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$572/ -$357

Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$57/ -$35

Daily Price Outlook

Despite the German ZEW Indicator surpassing expectations at 12.8, the EUR/USD currency pair failed to halt its downward trend and dipped to the 1.0790 level during early European trading hours on Wednesday. However, the primary reason for this downward movement can be attributed to modest strength in the US Dollar. Meanwhile, traders appear cautious about taking strong positions as the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the European Central Bank (ECB) are set to announce their decisions on monetary policy on Wednesday and Thursday, respectively.

US Inflation Stability and Fed Rate Expectations Impacting EUR/USD Dynamics

It's worth noting that the recent US inflation report largely aligned with expectations. In November, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) edged up by 0.1% from October, with the yearly rate showing a slight easing to 3.1%. The Core CPI, which excludes volatile items, saw a monthly increase of 0.3% and an annual rise of 4.0%, consistent with predictions.

Looking ahead, the market expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates between 5.25% and 5.5% in December. There's an 80% chance of a rate cut in May, and the market predicts further cuts totaling a full percentage point by year-end, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.

The US inflation report meeting expectations brings stability. It might influence the EUR/USD pair, with the market anticipating the Federal Reserve to maintain rates, potentially impacting the pair's dynamics.

ECB's Rate Decision and Positive Economic Sentiment Boost Euro Against Dollar

Moreover, the European Central Bank (ECB) is likely to keep interest rates steady in its December meeting, despite eurozone inflation nearing the 2.0% target. The ECB aims to delay expectations of a rate cut, emphasizing potential upward price risks, especially from rising wages. ECB President Christine Lagarde stressed the need for clear evidence that tight labor markets won't trigger inflation.

In recent news, the German ZEW Economic Sentiment improved, coming in at 12.8 compared to the previous 9.8, exceeding the expected 8.8. However, the Current Situation Index dipped to -77.1 from -79.8, below the anticipated -75.5. The Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment also rose to 23.0 from 13.8, surpassing the estimated 12.0.

Therefore, the ECB's decision to maintain interest rates and the positive German ZEW Economic Sentiment will support the Euro (EUR) against the US Dollar, potentially influencing the EUR/USD pair positively.

EUR/USD - Technical Analysis

On December 13th, the EUR/USD pair is exhibiting a subtle downward movement, currently trading at 1.07863, marking a 0.08% decline. This movement reflects the pair's response to broader market dynamics and impending economic decisions.

In the current trading session, the EUR/USD pair is navigating a critical juncture defined by significant technical levels. The pivot point is identified at $1.0690, offering a baseline for potential shifts in the currency's trajectory. On the upper side, the pair faces immediate resistance at $1.0792, followed by higher barriers at $1.0861 and $1.0967. Conversely, should the pair succumb to bearish pressures, it will encounter support at $1.0623, with subsequent levels at $1.0521 and $1.0417.

The technical indicators provide a deeper insight into the pair's current state. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is positioned at 50, indicating a neutral market sentiment neither leaning towards overbought nor oversold conditions. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) shows a value of 0.00063, slightly above its signal line at -0.00045, suggesting a potential, albeit uncertain, upward momentum.

Notably, the 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $1.0783 is acting as a significant resistance level. The presence of Doji and spinning top candles just under this EMA level hints at a selling bias among traders, especially as the market anticipates the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting's outcome.

In conclusion, while the EUR/USD pair demonstrates a bearish tendency below the $1.0783 mark, the overall trend is somewhat indecisive. Traders and investors are likely to maintain a cautious stance, waiting for clearer signals from the upcoming FOMC decision, which could significantly influence the pair's short-term direction.

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Daily Price Outlook

Despite the bullish trend in the US dollar, the EUR/USD currency pair started the new week on a positive note and maintained its position above the 1.0770 level. However, the reason for its upward momentum could be attributed to the announcement of the European Central Bank (ECB) keeping interest rates unchanged until inflation returns to the target level. It should be noted that the market had anticipated the ECB's decision to maintain rates at their current level until inflation meets the target.

On the other hand, the bullish trend of the US Dollar in response to stronger-than-expected US employment data was seen as a key factor that capped further gains in the EUR/USD pair.

Stable German Inflation and ECB Rate Expectations Impacting EUR/USD Outlook

It's important to highlight that the German inflation data, as gauged by the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP), stood at 2.3%, in line with market forecasts. As in result, the European Central Bank (ECB) decided to keep interest rates steady until inflation gets back on track.

Market analysts anticipate the possibility of the ECB implementing interest rate cuts in March 2024. But, the general belief is that the ECB will keep rates as they are until inflation meets the target.

Hence, the prospect of the ECB maintaining interest rates until March 2024 will foster a consistent environment, potentially influencing a stable performance for the EUR/USD pair.

US Labor Market Boosts Sentiment, Eyes on CPI and Central Bank Meetings

Moreover, the US labor market showed improvement in November, surpassing expectations with 199K new jobs, a drop in unemployment from 3.9% to 3.7%, and steady average hourly earnings at 4.0% YoY. This positive data led to a notable rise in Treasury bond yields as investors speculated that the Federal Reserve might postpone rate cuts in 2024.

Therefore, the bullish trend in the US Dollar was seen as a key factor that restrained additional gains in the EUR/USD pair.

Looking ahead, the focus is on the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) and ECB meetings this week. Before these key events, market watchers will pay attention to the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) on Tuesday.

EUR/USD - Technical Analysis

In the currency markets, the EUR/USD pair has displayed a modest uptick, nudging slightly upward by 0.01% to trade at 1.07628. Despite this fractional increase, the pair's movement suggests a tentativeness among traders, highlighting the market's current cautious sentiment. The pair sits just above a pivotal point at $1.0695, attempting to sustain momentum and breach immediate resistance levels at $1.0791 and potentially challenge further ceilings at $1.0860 and $1.0962.

Underneath the current price, there's a buffer zone extending to supports at $1.0619, $1.0523, and $1.0418, which are ready to act as soft landings should there be a pullback. From a technical standpoint, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovers at 38, signaling that the pair is neither oversold nor overbought, yet teeters closer to the territory where buyers may find value.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator presents a microscopic positive value at 0.00022, contrasting with its signal line at -0.00221, suggesting the potential for an upward trend has not yet gained conviction among investors. Concurrently, the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $1.0769 serves as a critical juncture; the pair's trading above this level could indicate a short-term bullish trend, while a consistent position below could confirm bearish inclinations.

The technical analysis is further enriched by the observation of an upward channel breakout at 1.0805, signaling a shift towards a downtrend, a pattern that traders will monitor closely for confirmation.

Conclusively, the EUR/USD pair's short-term outlook is delicately balanced, with a lean towards bearishness below the $1.0769 threshold. Market participants are poised for a potential test of upper resistance levels, but not without considering the broader economic context that could influence the currency's path in the coming days.

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Daily Price Outlook

- EUR/USD inches slightly higher to 1.07628, with key resistance at $1.0791 and support at $1.0619.

- RSI at 38 suggests potential undervaluation, while MACD's slight positive divergence hints at cautious optimism.

- Price action above 50 EMA at $1.0769 could signal a bullish trend, yet the current bearish bias below this mark sets a cautious market outlook.

In the currency markets, the EUR/USD pair has displayed a modest uptick, nudging slightly upward by 0.01% to trade at 1.07628. Despite this fractional increase, the pair's movement suggests a tentativeness among traders, highlighting the market's current cautious sentiment. The pair sits just above a pivotal point at $1.0695, attempting to sustain momentum and breach immediate resistance levels at $1.0791 and potentially challenge further ceilings at $1.0860 and $1.0962.

Underneath the current price, there's a buffer zone extending to supports at $1.0619, $1.0523, and $1.0418, which are ready to act as soft landings should there be a pullback. From a technical standpoint, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovers at 38, signaling that the pair is neither oversold nor overbought, yet teeters closer to the territory where buyers may find value.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator presents a microscopic positive value at 0.00022, contrasting with its signal line at -0.00221, suggesting the potential for an upward trend has not yet gained conviction among investors. Concurrently, the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $1.0769 serves as a critical juncture; the pair's trading above this level could indicate a short-term bullish trend, while a consistent position below could confirm bearish inclinations.

The technical analysis is further enriched by the observation of an upward channel breakout at 1.0805, signaling a shift towards a downtrend, a pattern that traders will monitor closely for confirmation.

Conclusively, the EUR/USD pair's short-term outlook is delicately balanced, with a lean towards bearishness below the $1.0769 threshold. Market participants are poised for a potential test of upper resistance levels, but not without considering the broader economic context that could influence the currency's path in the coming days.

EUR/USD - Trade Idea 

Entry Price – Sell Limit 1.07877

Take Profit – 1.07305

Stop Loss – 1.08234

Risk to Reward – 1: 1.6

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$572/ -$357

Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$57/ -$35

Daily Price Outlook

During the early European session on Friday, the EUR/USD currency pair failed to halt its downward trend and lingered below the 1.0800 mark. Despite this, the Eurozone's prospects remain gloomy, and the markets anticipate the European Central Bank (ECB) to initiate interest rate cuts earlier than previously thought. The first move is now expected as soon as March 2024, putting pressure on the Euro (EUR).

Eurozone Economic Slowdown and ECB Rate Cut Speculations

It's worth noting that the Eurozone economy unexpectedly slowed in Q3 2023. The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) reported 0% YoY, worse than the expected 0.1%. On a quarterly basis, the growth contracted by 0.1%, meeting market forecasts. Last month, ECB board member Isabel Schnabel suggested rate hikes if inflation didn't hit the 2% target quickly. However, she shifted her stance after three low inflation readings. Now, markets are strongly betting on the ECB cutting interest rates earlier than expected, possibly as soon as March 2024. This shift is influenced by the recent economic slowdown and concerns about inflation staying below the target.

Therefore, the unexpected Eurozone economic slowdown and the probability of earlier ECB rate cuts have pressured the Euro. This has led to a decline in the EUR/USD pair as markets react to concerns about economic performance and monetary policy divergence.

US Labor Data and Employment Outlook

On the other side, data from the US Labor Department on Thursday showed that the number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits increased to 220K for the week ending December 1, slightly below the expected 222K. However, the ongoing unemployment claims dropped to 1.861 million from 1.925 million, beating the expected 1.919 million.

Therefore, the mixed US labor data may weaken the USD, providing a potential boost to the EUR/USD pair amid economic uncertainty.

Looking Ahead: Market Focus on US Employment Report

Looking ahead, investors are keeping a close eyes on the upcoming US employment report on Friday. Key indicators include Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP), Unemployment Rate, Average Hourly Earnings, and the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index.

EUR/USD - Technical Analysis

In the current trading climate, the EUR/USD pair is showcasing a cautious stance, with a marginal downtick of 0.01%, stabilizing around the 1.07909 mark. This slight retraction reflects the pair's uncertainty ahead of key economic indicators that may sway the European currency’s valuation. The forex market, sensitive to such economic tides, is waiting for substantial triggers to define a clear direction.

The pair’s technical landscape is defined by a pivot point at $1.0727, which acts as a fulcrum for the currency's potential swings. Resistance levels are staged at $1.0801, $1.0910, and $1.0991, each representing a hurdle that could cap upward advances. Conversely, support levels at $1.0618, $1.0509, and $1.0397 provide a cushion against any downward pressures.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) reads at 41, suggesting a lack of momentum in either direction, while the MACD’s slight positive divergence from its signal line may indicate an undercurrent of bullish sentiment. However, the current price hovers around the 50 EMA of $1.0791, depicting a market in equilibrium without a distinct bullish or bearish bias.

The technical setup hints at an upward channel breakout, which could signal a shift in momentum should the pair consolidate above the crucial $1.07924 level.

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