SOLUSD opened Monday at $82.28 and closed Friday at $66.11, dropping $16.17 or 19.6%. The week's high hit $82.93 on Monday before sellers took control. Thursday marked the lowest print at $65.53.
Crypto markets reacted to broader risk-off flows in Asian equities. South Korea's KOSPI index dropped sharply while the Korean won hit a 17-year low against the dollar on Thursday. The People's Bank of China set its USD/CNY reference rate higher than estimates, signaling tolerance for yuan weakness.
The dollar's reversal against major currencies added pressure. As traditional risk assets sold off, crypto followed, with SOLUSD breaking key support levels on Wednesday before finding temporary footing near $66.
No major economic events appear in the calendar for the coming week. In the absence of scheduled catalysts, SOLUSD will likely track broader crypto market sentiment and dollar strength. If risk appetite returns and the dollar weakens, look for a recovery attempt toward the Tuesday high at $75.55. Continued risk aversion could see another test of the $65.53 week low.
Current positioning shows 60% of traders long and 40% short as of Friday morning. The long skew suggests traders view the $66 area as oversold after the week's sharp decline. This crowded long positioning leaves room for further downside if support fails.
The week's low at $65.53 is immediate support. If price recovers, the Tuesday high at $75.55 becomes the next test. Above that, the Monday high at $82.93 marks major resistance. A break below $65.53 could accelerate selling.
Byline: LHFX Research
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