AUDUSD opened the week at 0.71796 and closed Friday at 0.71201, declining 595 pips or 0.83%. The weekly high printed at 0.71898 on Monday before sellers took control, pushing the pair to a weekly low of 0.71054 by Friday.
Asian market turmoil drove the selloff. South Korea's KOSPI index plunged while the won hit a 17-year low against the dollar, triggering risk-off flows across the region. The PBOC set its USD/CNY reference rate well above estimates, signaling tolerance for yuan weakness.
Dollar strength accelerated through the week as USD reversed earlier declines against EUR/USD, JPY, and GBP. The combination of Asian currency weakness and broad dollar momentum kept pressure on the Australian dollar throughout the trading week.
No high-impact events are scheduled for the upcoming week. Without major data releases, AUDUSD will likely trade on broader risk sentiment and dollar flows. If Asian markets stabilize, you could see a relief bounce toward 0.7150. If the risk-off tone persists, the pair may test support at 0.7100.
Retail traders are 47.5% long and 52.5% short AUDUSD as of Friday morning. The slight short skew suggests traders expect further downside, though the near-balanced positioning indicates no extreme consensus view. When positioning is this evenly split, price often respects technical levels more cleanly.
The weekly low at 0.71054 is immediate support. If price holds above it, the 0.7150 area becomes the first resistance target. A break below 0.71054 opens the door to 0.7100, a round number that often attracts order flow. Friday's close at 0.71201 sits between these levels, making Monday's open crucial for near-term direction.
Byline: LHFX Research
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